Cowboys v Bucs OFFICIAL CARD
Well people it's finally here! Now that all prop plays are open I can finally put together a card for everyone. As you know, I am HIGH on the Bucs in this game. I have a lot of action on them BUT I DO NOT recommend anyone bet more than 5 units on this game. I will have about 20% of my bankroll tied to this game BUT I DO NOT recommend you copy me on that. I absolutely believe TB dominates this game and usually I would not bet this way but because I feel so strongly about it I'm willing to risk it.
Every pick I give out on here is something that I have bet. I don't recommend you tail every pick, instead take a glance at the picks and see the ones you like the most and tail those. If you're on the side of DAL in this game and think I'm wrong that's 100% okay (that's why it's gambling) and take these picks with caution.
Teaser: TB -1.5 / under 58 -110
For those of you that like to be more cautious out there this is the play for you. I think TB wins this game EASY and DAL does not score enough for us to even get close to the over.
TB -7.5
Like I said, I think TB rolls in this game. I bet this last month at -6 but I still think it's a good bet at -7.5 as I think TB wins by double digits easily.
TB - 3 1st Quarter
Last 3 years DAL has averaged 1.6 points in the 1st Q when on the road. Translation: they start slow on the road. Now they are heading to the defending SB champs on opening night against a defense that last time out held Patrick Mahomes to 0 touchdowns. I think this will be one of the easiest winners of the night.
TB -4 1st Half
Continuing on the belief that TB rolls this game. I don't see how DAL gets any momentum to take control in this game.
DAL under 22 total points
Once again, I don't see how DAL's offense, even as talented as it is, gets going enough to score over 3 touchdowns. This TB defense is returning EVERYONE and EVERY COACH. Dak has not played in ANY preseason games so his first time out there since his terrible injury is going to be against this defense. Good luck!
DAK under 290.5 passing yards
While yes they will be playing from behind A LOT this game, I still don't think DAK hits the over here. It's going to be a long night.
Tom Brady over 2.5 passing touchdowns +150
We are getting plus money on this and that's why I LOVE IT. He will def have his opportunities her and DAL had a historically terrible defense last year and I don't see it improving dramatically in just one off season.
Fournette over 35.5 rushing yards
Yes he's going to be splitting time in the backfield but I think he hits this in the first half. This defense is BAD and Fournette will get enough carries to go over this number and probably has 1 big run he breaks.
Elliott under 14.5 rush attempts
I think they will be behind so much that he they will be looking to pass even on screens or Elliott will be pulled come 4th Q
Amari Cooper under 64.5 rec yards
They will not move on this defense
Godwin over 59 rec yards
I like Godwin this season and he's finally healthy. I think he has himself a game to start the season.
Godwin to score a TD +125
Same as above.
This is where I'm at so far. If I find anything else I like I will update it here.