Hey I just want to point out some line movements we are already seeing since the start of the week and will continue until kickoff.

This is a lesson about getting good line value and why if you like a pick and think you have an edge you better bet it sooner rather than later because the line can move and go past key numbers.

Tampa Bay moved from -7.5 odds +105 to -8 odds -110

This line keeps moving especially with more doubt people are having on how healthy DAL is going to be. Not only did the line move half a point BUT the odds moved from +105 to -110 meaning you're paying more of a tax on your bet.
***Also note there was a reason why I bet this a month ago at -6 because I had a feeling once the public got involved (plus I have my doubts about Dak) this line would move at least past 7 and here we are at -8 and past that key number of 7.

Houston moving from +2.5 +105 to +3 -115

This is key if you liked HOU because if you waited by factoring in public money coming in on JAX this number would eventually get to +3. Now you have less odds at -115 BUT you do get the key number of 3 which might be worth it to you. Also for teaser purposes you now get to tease up to 9 or even 10 if you do a 7 point teaser which is worth the wait.

Minnesota moving from -3.5 +100 to -3 -125

Once again we have a key number of 3 here and I figured the public (or some big money) would be all over Burrow and CIN here. Now all you have to ask yourself is paying a 25 cent tax (+100 to -125) worth moving onto the key number? To me yes and it opens up an opportunity here for a teaser play getting MIN to +3.

Patriots moving from -2.5 to -3 -103

I forget the odds when ti was -2.5 but the point here is this game has a lower total than most and is expected to be a close defensive game. So getting the Pats at home less than a FG has tremendous value if you like them in this game. Now that you're on the key number of 3 you increase your chances of pushing or losing this bet. Also you got a better teaser value of +3.5 rather than +3.

Denver moving from -2.5 to -3

Same goes here as above but Denver is on the road which makes this a little different. But bottom line is if you liked Denver you were better off getting them early at -2.5 than now at -3 with it being highly unlikely the line comes back below 3.

These are just some early line movements I'm seeing. Don't worry if you don't fully understand this or all the terminology you WILL LEARN as time goes on. I will try my best all season long to point out these line movements and if the "value" in a bet seems to be gone. OR if the line corrected TOO MUCH so we need to consider taking the other side of the movement.