Here's where I'm at early week 2 and I will be updating this as the week goes on.
Giants @ Washington
Giants are the right side in this game. I got them early at +4 and now they are +3.5. The biggest issue in this game is Fitzpatrick being out. Divisional game makes me believe this will a close game and so does the matchup. Nothing impresses me about either of these teams SO I will go with the team that has a better QB in a divisional matchup.
NO @ CAR
Waiting to see what is going on with NO and their COVID scare. I'm high on NO but if their offensive line is compromised in this game due to COVID I do not feel good about laying -3.5 but at the same time I do not trust Sam Darnold yet on this new team.
HOU @ CLE
HOU is terrible as I have said but I liked them week 1. I don't like them much the rest of the year but I can't lay -12.5 with the Browns because they have not shown me they can step up and turn the page to be an ELITE team in the NFL as we saw last weekend where they folded and lost a 22-10 half time lead to KC.
CIN @ CHI
I will probably play -3 with CHI early here. I am LOW on the Bengals and I don't think the Bears are anything to be excited about, BUT I think the public is too high on CIN therefore I will exploit their fandom and bet against CIN as much as I can.
LV @ PIT
Line feels right to me. PIT will win this game by how much I cannot tell you.
BUF @ MIA
I really LIKE MIA in this matchup at +3.5. Yes the Bills should be the better team. But MIA stole one in NE and now they get to take out another divisional opponent while at home. I'm telling you this is just a gut feeling that many people think BUF can't lose this game and fall 0-2 but I'm telling you this is a VERY possible outcome. Wait to bet this play as I'm sure HEAVY money will come in on BUF and we will have a competent team at home against a divisional opponent.
LAR @ IND
This one is tough for me at the moment. How good is LAR after one game against a bad Bears team? I also have concerns with IND's offense, which no doubt will get better as the season goes on. I think I'm going to be on the side IND +4 here.
SF @ PHI
This line feels like a trap but also I think I'm going to bet it. SF -3.5 I only see this line moving lower as public money comes in on SF. I know it's back to back road games for SF but I don't think PHI is that good. They beat a terrible ATL team and SF's defense should make it a long day for Hurts. Also, I think SF's almost embarrassing collapse at the end of the game will keep them focused for this game instead of feeling themselves after a blowout victory.
DEN @ JAX
Line feels right to me. Teddy 2 gloves is a road covering machine so DEN -6 seems to be the right side. Also JAX is not that good and now Lawrence gets to face a top 5 defense in the league. Wouldn't be surprised if JAX gets blown out again and rumors start up saying Meyer is looking to leave the team.
NE @ NYJ
NE will be focused for this game as Bill knows they can't afford to start 0-2. I will probably lay the 5.5 with NE but def will be teasing them down to PK.
MIN @ AZ
MIN continues to be a disappointment. I am still higher on them than most but I'm not sure if I can take them in this spot. I also don't want to bet on AZ because they looked way too impressive last week and teams tend to come back down to earth. AZ's defense was very impressive though and I will be keeping my eye on them to see if they can maintain this. I kind of like under 51 in this game. Might even be a correlation with MIN + under 51 for a parlay but I have to look into this more.
ATL @ TB
Yeah TB should roll in this game but I never feel good about laying double digits in the NFL.
TEN @ SEA
Probably my #1 favorite bet of this week is TEN +5.5 coming off a disappointing performance, especially with all the hype in the offseason about their offense. They will be able to get back to the basics here and establish the run game against SEA. I think we see a big game from TEN here as this is desperation time knowing they can't afford to go 0-2.
More games to come later....
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Here's where the money is at in MLB today!
Rumble link:
https://rumble.com/v2xmf3k-mlb-daily-betting-report-july-2-2023.html
Here's today's games!
Rumble link:
https://rumble.com/v2x0jvl-mlb-daily-betting-report-june-29-2023.html
NFL 2026 Power Rankings
Here’s how I rank each team. I grade them vs an average team and what I believe the odds would be for that team if they played an average team on a neutral field.
For example, Rams +6 means I think the Rams are 6 points better than an average team on a neutral. Meaning that’s what I think the spread should be. I use this to find out what the spread should be compared to what the odds makers list. So if the Rams are +6 and facing a team at home that is +2 on a neutral, the net would be +4 plus homefield advantage. So I would have the Rams as a -5.5 to -6 favorite in this scenario at home (giving home field +1.5 to +2). If the books have the line at Rams -3.5 that would be a play for me due to my rankings have it at -5.5 to -6.
These rankings will adjust throughout the season as we get more data. I do not like to start a team higher than +6 or lower than -6 even if it might be deserved because there is so much unknown and variance in each game. If I were to ranking higher than this window to start the season I ...
The biggest discrepancies between MY power rankings and the current betting lines for week 1.
Lions -7 vs Saints - I make it Lions -4.5 – 2.5 points of implied value on the Saints
Steelers -3 vs Falcons - I make it Steelers -1.5 — 1.5 points of implied value on Falcons plus getting the key number of 3.
Bills -1.5 @ Texans - I make it pick’em (even) — 1.5 points of implied value on Texans (great teaser team)
Eagles -4.5 vs Commanders - I make it Eagles -7 — 2.5 points of implied value on Eagles
What does this mean? This will be my starting point to dive deeper to see why the market doesn’t match up with my numbers. If I feel like I am right then this will be a play for me. Time to do homework this next week!
What do you think?
College Football Classic - TCU 10 - 15 UNC
This is a crosspost from my post over on Sportspicks. On Saturday the 2026 College Football season kicked off at the Aviva Stadium in Lansdowne Road, Dublin. Opening the college football season in Ireland has become a regular feature of the schedule, with the Irish time zone leading to midday football if you are on the east coast and morning football if you are elsewhere in the USA. This year the College Football Classic was contested by the Texas Christian University Horned Frogs and the North Carolina Tar Heels. TCU were the administrative home team and thus had a significant share of the ticket allotment and indeed, most of the jerseys I saw when I was at the pub before the game were the purple of TCU. Although it is the convention to display the away team first in American sports, I noted that TCU were listed first on the scoreboards, which is in keeping with the convention of European sports so I have reproduced it as a feature of the venue. As the ...
NFL WEEK 3 CARD
SIDES AND ML
TEN +3.5 +100
TEN ML +174
CAR +5.5
CAR ML +203
LV +3.5
LV ML +148
GB -7.5
MIN -3
LAR +3 +104
LAR ML +165
HOU ML +110
DEN +3 -120
NO +7.5
TEASERS
POOL
MIA +17.5
MIA/BUF O 44.5
CAR +11.5
LV +9.5
GB -1.5
HOU +7
DEN +9
NO +13.5
LAR +9
NYJ +12.5
MY TEASER PICKS
MIA +17.5 / BUF-MIA O 44.5 / GB -1.5 +155
LAR +9 / HOU +7 / NO +13.5 +150
CAR +11.5 / GB -1.5 / DEN +9 +150
LV +9.5 / NYJ +12.5 / NO +13.5 +160
Here's everything I'm on for the big game. I have several big bets, parlays, props, and long shot props!
I'm betting this game to make a profit, not how I think it will play out. I honestly don't care either way who wins this game, nor do I have a strong feeling on how it will play out. It's all about making money. I'll specify my strategies with certain bets on how I'm going to play them.
My overall thoughts on the game is the Eagles have the better roster, are the better team, have the ability to control this game and drain clock. Which is exactly why I expect the Chiefs to end up winning.
WILL ADD MORE OVER THE WEEKEND SO CHECK BACK
