Here's where I'm at early week 2 and I will be updating this as the week goes on.
Giants @ Washington
Giants are the right side in this game. I got them early at +4 and now they are +3.5. The biggest issue in this game is Fitzpatrick being out. Divisional game makes me believe this will a close game and so does the matchup. Nothing impresses me about either of these teams SO I will go with the team that has a better QB in a divisional matchup.
NO @ CAR
Waiting to see what is going on with NO and their COVID scare. I'm high on NO but if their offensive line is compromised in this game due to COVID I do not feel good about laying -3.5 but at the same time I do not trust Sam Darnold yet on this new team.
HOU @ CLE
HOU is terrible as I have said but I liked them week 1. I don't like them much the rest of the year but I can't lay -12.5 with the Browns because they have not shown me they can step up and turn the page to be an ELITE team in the NFL as we saw last weekend where they folded and lost a 22-10 half time lead to KC.
CIN @ CHI
I will probably play -3 with CHI early here. I am LOW on the Bengals and I don't think the Bears are anything to be excited about, BUT I think the public is too high on CIN therefore I will exploit their fandom and bet against CIN as much as I can.
LV @ PIT
Line feels right to me. PIT will win this game by how much I cannot tell you.
BUF @ MIA
I really LIKE MIA in this matchup at +3.5. Yes the Bills should be the better team. But MIA stole one in NE and now they get to take out another divisional opponent while at home. I'm telling you this is just a gut feeling that many people think BUF can't lose this game and fall 0-2 but I'm telling you this is a VERY possible outcome. Wait to bet this play as I'm sure HEAVY money will come in on BUF and we will have a competent team at home against a divisional opponent.
LAR @ IND
This one is tough for me at the moment. How good is LAR after one game against a bad Bears team? I also have concerns with IND's offense, which no doubt will get better as the season goes on. I think I'm going to be on the side IND +4 here.
SF @ PHI
This line feels like a trap but also I think I'm going to bet it. SF -3.5 I only see this line moving lower as public money comes in on SF. I know it's back to back road games for SF but I don't think PHI is that good. They beat a terrible ATL team and SF's defense should make it a long day for Hurts. Also, I think SF's almost embarrassing collapse at the end of the game will keep them focused for this game instead of feeling themselves after a blowout victory.
DEN @ JAX
Line feels right to me. Teddy 2 gloves is a road covering machine so DEN -6 seems to be the right side. Also JAX is not that good and now Lawrence gets to face a top 5 defense in the league. Wouldn't be surprised if JAX gets blown out again and rumors start up saying Meyer is looking to leave the team.
NE @ NYJ
NE will be focused for this game as Bill knows they can't afford to start 0-2. I will probably lay the 5.5 with NE but def will be teasing them down to PK.
MIN @ AZ
MIN continues to be a disappointment. I am still higher on them than most but I'm not sure if I can take them in this spot. I also don't want to bet on AZ because they looked way too impressive last week and teams tend to come back down to earth. AZ's defense was very impressive though and I will be keeping my eye on them to see if they can maintain this. I kind of like under 51 in this game. Might even be a correlation with MIN + under 51 for a parlay but I have to look into this more.
ATL @ TB
Yeah TB should roll in this game but I never feel good about laying double digits in the NFL.
TEN @ SEA
Probably my #1 favorite bet of this week is TEN +5.5 coming off a disappointing performance, especially with all the hype in the offseason about their offense. They will be able to get back to the basics here and establish the run game against SEA. I think we see a big game from TEN here as this is desperation time knowing they can't afford to go 0-2.
More games to come later....