@LibertyCentric what you think

Alejandro Perez By Decision +188 1*

This is mostly a fade of Johnny Eduardo, who is coming off a 3+ year layoff and is now 41 years old. He has lost 3 of his 4 fights, but Perez has lost his last two as well. Perez is not a guy who pushes action, and he isn’t a big finisher. Eduardo was once the kind of striker who could potentially piece Perez up, but a 3 year layoff for a guy at this age is something I have to fade.

Alex Hernandez Inside The Distance -137 2*

Hernandez gets gifted an opportunity to get himself back on track. He has a couple of impressive wins on his card, namely a knockout of Beneil Dariush in his UFC debut. He has also had some confusing losses. So they bring him Mike Breeden, who lost on Dana White’s Contender Series, and wasn’t signed there. Bringing him in now makes me think he is coming in as a sacrificial lamb, and Hernandez has the type of athleticism that Breeden is going to struggle to deal with consistently.

Joe Solecki -135 2*

Joe Solecki has been very solid since getting to the UFC. He has shown flashes of good striking, but his wrestling game is very strong, and he is constantly hunting for submissions, forcing mistakes out of his opponents. Gordon is a solid wrestler but he has been too aggressive at times, and it has cost him, albeit his losses are coming against high end competition (including current LW champ Charles Oliveira). Most of his success has come against 145 pounders, and most of his problems have shown up against 155ers. Solecki isn’t afraid to be taken down, but he has the advantage here because he should be the better striker, and has more ways to win on the ground.

Krzysztof Jotko -150 2*

Jotko has very fast hands, and faces an opponent who is dropping down a weight class. The biggest issue for Cirkunov is he is stiff and doesn’t get going until late in the fight. Facing guys who will be faster seems like an odd choice. Cirkunov wants to grab ahold of you and drag you down, but I think chasing around the faster man seems unlikely. A slow light heavyweight dropping to middleweight is a move that I don’t get. Jotko isn’t a great finisher, but he is well rounded and should be able to consistently touch the slower Cirkunov.

Niko Price Inside The Distance +120 2*

This is going to be a fun fight, and I don’t think it sees the last bell either way, but Price is the side here. He is an incredibly aggressive fighter, who doesn’t have a lot of real skill. He is clearly in need of a win here, and they give him someone who will welcome a standup war. He has wrestled less as his career has gone on, which is good news for Price. Also good news, Oliveira has historically wilted under pressure. He wants to get into a clinch, but once he gets cracked, his game falls apart quickly. You can’t fight Niko Price without eating some heavy shots.

Thiago Santos Inside The Distance -137 1
Santos/Walker Under 1.5 Rounds -120 3

This fight shouldn’t last long either. Both these guys have VERY heavy hands, and will throw unorthodox strikes (particularly Walker). Walker’s chin is extremely suspect though, and that spells trouble for a guy who is constantly throwing defense out the window in favor of spinning and jumping techniques. Walker was NEARLY knocked out against Ryan Spann, but survived to get his own finish. Both of these guys want to get out as soon as possible, and are willing to go out on their shield. History says this ends early.

FAVORITES PARLAY +135 1*

Douglas Silva de Andrade/ Alejandro Perez/ Karol Rosa