Here are my plays for tonight's fights. I like what @LibertyCentric has posted below as well so check out his plays too.
Bruno Silva wins inside distance +115
This is a play on the difference in athleticism between these two fighters. Silva is a high level one, and Sanchez is… a solid fighter. He has historically gotten by with his grinding wrestling style, but Silva is a powerful grappler. Any time these two are on the feet, Silva is going to be at a heavy advantage. Sanchez will have his moments, but I expect him to struggle to pace Silva, and at some point Silva puts him away.
Arlovski/Felipe under 2.5 rounds +185
I agree with @LibertyCentric I don't trust Arlovski's chin. But I don't know how much I like either fighter in this matchup. Both could get finished so let's take the massive plus money on the under 2.5 rounds and pray someone finishes this fight early.
Dumont +109
There are too many red flags for me to take Ladd. She is a public favor as well. Her not fighting since Dec 2019 and last week missing weight forcing her to jump up a weight class and taking this fight on short notice. I agree with @LibertyCentric no way can we back Ladd. I would bet Dumont via KO but my book doesn't have that up currently.
Parlays
Ariane Carnelossi/Ludovit Klein +105
Manon Fiorot/Lupita Godinez
Bellator 268
Henry Corrales -140
Parubchenko built up a nice pre-Bellator resume with tons of submission wins over less than qualified opponents. Corrales has been in with Emmanuel Sanchez and Patricio Friere. There are still questions about how good Parubchenko is, but this is almost exclusively a play where I see value on a finisher taking on a guy who has built his resume on cans.
Vadim Nemkov Inside The Distance -137
This is a huge step up for Anglickas, who has mostly been a prelim fighter in his career. Nemkov has dominated basically everyone but Phil Davis since coming to Bellator. Davis was enough of a wrestling threat that he could neutralize some of Nemkov’s strengths, but the spotlight and the gap in talent is going to be too much for Anglickas here. He is a well built guy, but that muscular frame could cost him as the fight goes on.
Corey Anderson -183
This is just a fade on Bader. He was once great but I think he's taken a big step down. Anderson is a dog too, he's long and able to wrestle if needed. I think he has a big edge in this matchup
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Here's where the money is at in MLB today!
Rumble link:
https://rumble.com/v2xmf3k-mlb-daily-betting-report-july-2-2023.html
Here's today's games!
Rumble link:
https://rumble.com/v2x0jvl-mlb-daily-betting-report-june-29-2023.html
Jackson Dart under 40.5 rushing yards
Dart became the third player in NFL history to rush for 50+ yards in his first three games.
But his injury/concussion he had last week nearly gave Deboll a heart attack when he had to let Russell Wilson come in the game. Look for Deboll to not rush Dart much in this game and to encourage him to not be so reckless when he takes off.
Denver is really good at stopping running QBs. Since the start of last season Denver has only allowed 1 QB to go over 40.5 rush yards. They stopped Lamar, Hurts, Allen, Herbert, Fields and many more. Now they are home ready to take on this rookie QB.
How are NFL teams doing against the spread this season?
THE BEST (ALL 4-2 ATS)
Colts
Lions
Seahawks
Buccaneers
Rams
Patriots
Panthers
Jaguars
THE BAD (ALL 2-4 ATS)
Bengals
Titans
Raiders
Browns
Saints
Bills
Broncos
THE WORST (1-5 ATS)
Ravens
NFL WEEK 3 CARD
SIDES AND ML
TEN +3.5 +100
TEN ML +174
CAR +5.5
CAR ML +203
LV +3.5
LV ML +148
GB -7.5
MIN -3
LAR +3 +104
LAR ML +165
HOU ML +110
DEN +3 -120
NO +7.5
TEASERS
POOL
MIA +17.5
MIA/BUF O 44.5
CAR +11.5
LV +9.5
GB -1.5
HOU +7
DEN +9
NO +13.5
LAR +9
NYJ +12.5
MY TEASER PICKS
MIA +17.5 / BUF-MIA O 44.5 / GB -1.5 +155
LAR +9 / HOU +7 / NO +13.5 +150
CAR +11.5 / GB -1.5 / DEN +9 +150
LV +9.5 / NYJ +12.5 / NO +13.5 +160
Here's everything I'm on for the big game. I have several big bets, parlays, props, and long shot props!
I'm betting this game to make a profit, not how I think it will play out. I honestly don't care either way who wins this game, nor do I have a strong feeling on how it will play out. It's all about making money. I'll specify my strategies with certain bets on how I'm going to play them.
My overall thoughts on the game is the Eagles have the better roster, are the better team, have the ability to control this game and drain clock. Which is exactly why I expect the Chiefs to end up winning.
WILL ADD MORE OVER THE WEEKEND SO CHECK BACK
