As promised here's what I'm looking at right now and will be updating this as the week goes on. Picks will be first and explanations on certain picks will be listed below.
SURVIVOR PICK
Seahawks✅
MEGA CONTEST
Terrible week last week! 2-3 and I think the worst loss was ATL -2.5 that didn't cover after being up 13 in the 4th Q. But what can we do. Remember the lines will move and I may change any of these picks at any point up until kickoff.
record: 19-16 rank: 1564
SEA -3✅
ATL -2.5❌
DET +3.5❌
DEN -3✅
TB -4❌
NFL
GB/AZ u 51✅
MIA/BUF U 49✅
Edmonds over 46 rush yards❌
GB team total u 21❌
DET +3.5❌
SEA -3✅
DEN -3 ✅
TB -4.5❌
ATL -2.5❌
PHI TT u 26❌
CIN u 27.5❌
J. Chase u 81.5 rec yards✅
PHI-DET 1H u 23.5✅
BUF-MIA 1H u 24.5✅
Lockett TD ✅
Saints ML (live bet hedge) ✅
SEA-JAX u 39.5 (live bet) ✅
MIN-DAL 1H u 24.5 ✅
2 LEG TEASERS
6pt -110❌
AZ PK / AZ-GB u 56.5
6 pt -110✅
MIA-BUF u 54 / NE-LAC o 43
7pt -130✅
CAR +9.5 / TEN +10
6pt -110❌
JAX +10 / NYJ +17.5
7pt -130✅
SEA +3 / DAL +10
3 LEG TEASERS
7pt +135❌
TEN +10 / DET +10 / NE +10.5
4 OR MORE LEG TEASERS
6 leg 7pt +475❌
TEN +10 / CAR +9.5 / DEN +3 / TB +3 / SEA +3 / SEA-JAX o 37.5
TEASER POOL
GB-AZ u 57✅
MIA-BUF u 54 ✅
NE-LAC o 43✅
ATL +3❌
DET +10❌
TEN +8.5✅
NYJ +17✅
PIT-CLE u 48✅
JAX-SEA o 37.5✅
DEN +3✅
MIN-DAL u 58✅
GB-AZ u 51
At some point AZ is going to hit a wall. Now here on a short week I can't tell you this is the spot, especially with Devonte Adams being out for GB. The main point with this pick is GB and we also will be looking to take their team total under as well. Arizona ranks 4th in yards allowed and tied in 5th in sacks this season. They're going to get pressure on Rodgers as we have seen this GB offensive line be shaky this season. Rodgers won't have his star WR to bail out to and we have seen in the past when he gets pressured and frustrated it turns ugly fast. I can't get a feel for the side in this game but this under feels right to me.
Tease NE/LAC o 49
I also thing you can tease this to the under as well and I just may but this lined opened up at 47.5 this morning and the sharps bet this up to 49 quickly. So if the sharps liked it at 47.5 why wouldn't we like it in a teaser at 43 or better? I also thing under 55 or more is also a good play because the line feels right now.
Chiefs rushing OVER
I know it's too soon to bet this now but keep an eye on on where these team total rushing yards come out and where CEH's yards come out because I think we will see this number lower than it should be.