Here's my favorite plays for tomorrow (full card is up on my page):
Raiders -1
I don't understand how people are betting on the WFT here. Raiders coming off a nice win against Dallas, Raiders getting extra rest after playing on Thanksgiving, WFT has a short week after playing on MNF, WFT has to travel across country on a short week, WFT did not look all that great against a struggle Seahawks team. Yes WFT has some nice wins over the last month BUT they rank second worst this season in giving up big plays. LV is all about big plays and I see Carr having a BIG day tomorrow. Oh, don't forget, the reason Gruden was fired was because of the WFT was investigated by the NFL and leaked those emails. The Raiders surely haven't forgotten about that and I would expect them to be extra motivated here to get a W for their former coach.
SF -3
Seattle losing on MNF was a dream crusher. Their season is done. This is likely Wilson's last season in SEA and everyone knows it especially the players. Meanwhile SF is still alive and in the hunt for a playoff spot. This game comes down to who wants it more and SF NEEDS this game and they couldn't have asked for a better spot to catch SEA in.
TB/ATL over 50.5
Go back and look at the last 3 times these teams have played. I'll save you the time and tell you the total in those games were 73, 71, and 58. These teams know each other and usually this time of the year I would lean more to the side of defense BUT we haven't seen TB step up in defense yet and ATL ranks bottom of the league defensively. We saw last week with Patterson back ATL is more dynamic on offense. Look for this to be a high scoring game again and easily going over this number.
MIN/DET under 46.5
Swift being out for DET and Cook out for MIN makes me feel running is going to be tough for both teams which I believe is going to lead to a lot more punts. All we need is one of these teams to struggle offensively and we will cover this bet and I would bank on DET being the team that comes out flat.
BAL -4.5
Everyone wants to talk about how bad PIT played and how they have to bounce back. I know A LOT of sharps are going to be on PIT here but I'm telling you they have this wrong. Last week was the game PIT needed to bounce back from after already getting blown out earlier in the season by CIN, a team they usually dominate. Their poor performance and the rumors about Big Ben being done after this season does not give me any confidence in PIT tomorrow. Meanwhile one of their biggest rivals is coming to town and BAL is still playing to get the 1 seed. BAL would love nothing more than to rub salt in PIT's wounds and Jackson is looking to bounce back after throwing 4 INT's last game.