Well well well... it's that time again. One more time for the regular season. Week 18 is as wild and unpredictable as week 1, so don't go crazy this weekend. Here's what I'm on this weekend and I'll go into detail why.
KC/DEN u 45❌
This game is in Denver which I think will slow down KC enough. Bottom line, I don't think DEN has enough fire power offensively to hit this over and Denver is good enough defensively to keep KC in check.
KC -6.5 1H❌
I believe KC wins this game. They lost the 1 seed last week and have a chance to win it back or at worst get 2nd seed with a win this weekend and therefore if you believe (like I do) KC wins this game then odds are more likely than not they come out hot and get a lead early and second half play conservatively to hang onto the win.
DAL -4 ✅
There's an outside chance that DAL could get a better seed that the 4th seed. The fact that this game is played Saturday makes me love this bet even more because they won't be unmotivated by other teams winning their games. The reason why they don't want to be the 4th seed is because they will either play Arizona (who they just lost to) or the Rams in the first round of the playoffs and no team wants to start the playoffs playing either of those teams.
10 point teaser -130: KC -1 / KC-DEN u 55 / DAL +6✅
PIT/BAL 1H u 20.5
Both offenses stink. PIT has shown all season long that they start slow. PIT's defense should be able to keep BAL's offense in check therefore I think the under is the right side in the first half.
NE -3.5 1H
I like NE for the game but I think the smarter bet is to play them first half. It's very likely that BUF is going to beat the Jets this weekend and they play the same time NE does. There's a chance BUF is blowing out the Jets by half which could mean at the same time NE sees this and realizes it's unlikely they'll win the division and play more conservative in the 2nd half an we may not cover the 6. So betting NE 1H is the smarter play because we know they will be max motivated during this time.
NYJ +16
Jets have been playing very well of late and this number is just too big. Bills will win this game but with so much on the line there's a chance the Bills get conservative and this 3 score number covers.
AZ -6.5
I love this play. I think there's a good chance SF gives the Rams a good game (I'll explain in the next pick) and this will keep AZ motivated to get a W in this game and potentially win the division.
SF +4
SF has had LAR's number. They are built to beat the Rams. The only reason the Rams are favored is because they have a better record. Matchup wise, the edge is to SF so let's take the points and bet that.
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Here's where the money is at in MLB today!
Rumble link:
https://rumble.com/v2xmf3k-mlb-daily-betting-report-july-2-2023.html
Here's today's games!
Rumble link:
https://rumble.com/v2x0jvl-mlb-daily-betting-report-june-29-2023.html
Jackson Dart under 40.5 rushing yards
Dart became the third player in NFL history to rush for 50+ yards in his first three games.
But his injury/concussion he had last week nearly gave Deboll a heart attack when he had to let Russell Wilson come in the game. Look for Deboll to not rush Dart much in this game and to encourage him to not be so reckless when he takes off.
Denver is really good at stopping running QBs. Since the start of last season Denver has only allowed 1 QB to go over 40.5 rush yards. They stopped Lamar, Hurts, Allen, Herbert, Fields and many more. Now they are home ready to take on this rookie QB.
How are NFL teams doing against the spread this season?
THE BEST (ALL 4-2 ATS)
Colts
Lions
Seahawks
Buccaneers
Rams
Patriots
Panthers
Jaguars
THE BAD (ALL 2-4 ATS)
Bengals
Titans
Raiders
Browns
Saints
Bills
Broncos
THE WORST (1-5 ATS)
Ravens
NFL WEEK 3 CARD
SIDES AND ML
TEN +3.5 +100
TEN ML +174
CAR +5.5
CAR ML +203
LV +3.5
LV ML +148
GB -7.5
MIN -3
LAR +3 +104
LAR ML +165
HOU ML +110
DEN +3 -120
NO +7.5
TEASERS
POOL
MIA +17.5
MIA/BUF O 44.5
CAR +11.5
LV +9.5
GB -1.5
HOU +7
DEN +9
NO +13.5
LAR +9
NYJ +12.5
MY TEASER PICKS
MIA +17.5 / BUF-MIA O 44.5 / GB -1.5 +155
LAR +9 / HOU +7 / NO +13.5 +150
CAR +11.5 / GB -1.5 / DEN +9 +150
LV +9.5 / NYJ +12.5 / NO +13.5 +160
Here's everything I'm on for the big game. I have several big bets, parlays, props, and long shot props!
I'm betting this game to make a profit, not how I think it will play out. I honestly don't care either way who wins this game, nor do I have a strong feeling on how it will play out. It's all about making money. I'll specify my strategies with certain bets on how I'm going to play them.
My overall thoughts on the game is the Eagles have the better roster, are the better team, have the ability to control this game and drain clock. Which is exactly why I expect the Chiefs to end up winning.
WILL ADD MORE OVER THE WEEKEND SO CHECK BACK
