I’m out of town this weekend so I’ll leave this chat open for the next few days. Let’s have a monster weekend so everyone drop your best bets in this chat!
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Here's where the money is at in MLB today!
Rumble link:
https://rumble.com/v2xmf3k-mlb-daily-betting-report-july-2-2023.html
Here's today's games!
Rumble link:
https://rumble.com/v2x0jvl-mlb-daily-betting-report-june-29-2023.html
Mathematical Considerations For Teasers
Following on from last week's post on parlays on Sportspicks I'd like to explore the mathematical underpinnings of teasers. This is prompted partially by Robert Barnes' allusion to teasers showing an edge in college football last season and Will's analysis on teasers for NFL. I'll be posting this on Sportspicks too so that hopefully we'll all find a good edge on teasers this year in college football and NFL.
A teaser is an adjusted parlay that combines spreads and totals from either American football or basketball leagues. Whatever line you take, you adjust it by the same number in the same direction of action. Since spreads and totals are generally quoted on average a little bit below even money, parlays and teasers are quoted at odds that lengthen exponentially with each added leg. The primary difference is that teasers lengthen slower such that a two leg teaser has a similar price to its original constituent spreads and subsequent legs will diverge from...
Since 2 out of 3 legs have hit on one of my 3 leg teaser parlay, I'm going to hedge and try to middle.
Currently I have PIT +3.5 left to cash my teaser. I will tease NYJ up and tie it to an afternoon game.
NYJ +8.5 / HOU +9 -115
If PIT wins by 8 or less OR loses by 3 or less I'll cash the first leg and be alive for the hedge teaser with HOU +9
NFL WEEK 3 CARD
SIDES AND ML
TEN +3.5 +100
TEN ML +174
CAR +5.5
CAR ML +203
LV +3.5
LV ML +148
GB -7.5
MIN -3
LAR +3 +104
LAR ML +165
HOU ML +110
DEN +3 -120
NO +7.5
TEASERS
POOL
MIA +17.5
MIA/BUF O 44.5
CAR +11.5
LV +9.5
GB -1.5
HOU +7
DEN +9
NO +13.5
LAR +9
NYJ +12.5
MY TEASER PICKS
MIA +17.5 / BUF-MIA O 44.5 / GB -1.5 +155
LAR +9 / HOU +7 / NO +13.5 +150
CAR +11.5 / GB -1.5 / DEN +9 +150
LV +9.5 / NYJ +12.5 / NO +13.5 +160
Here's everything I'm on for the big game. I have several big bets, parlays, props, and long shot props!
I'm betting this game to make a profit, not how I think it will play out. I honestly don't care either way who wins this game, nor do I have a strong feeling on how it will play out. It's all about making money. I'll specify my strategies with certain bets on how I'm going to play them.
My overall thoughts on the game is the Eagles have the better roster, are the better team, have the ability to control this game and drain clock. Which is exactly why I expect the Chiefs to end up winning.
WILL ADD MORE OVER THE WEEKEND SO CHECK BACK
