So @Heavy_Steps and myself just spent the last two hours breaking down Underdog Fantasy picks and comparing them to the current betting market to see where we could find an edge and an advantage. Below are all the edges we could spot AND our official picks we took from them. Do with this as you wish!
If you haven't joined Underdog Fantasy yet, first what are you waiting for, and second go over there now and use promo code RUMBLE to get free money! They'll match your first deposit up to $500! Go get that free money!
https://underdogfantasy.com
First when I say that we have an edge I mean Underdog Fantasy is giving you this play at +100 based on how they do their parlays. You have to pick higher or lower on player props. Each ends up being +100 per leg you enter. Therefore, you want to see where the market is at and if you're getting a better number AND/OR a better number (ie +100 vs -120).
Below I will post Underdog Fantasy line and in parentheses I'll post the current betting odds.
PICKS WITH A BETTING EDGE
HOU/DEN game
-Singletary over 56.5 rush yards (58.5, -121)
-Russel Wilson under 24.5 rush yards (24.5, -124)
-Ammendola over 2.5 extra points made (2.5, -162)
DET/NO
-Laporta over 7.45 fantasy points (projected 12)
-Kamara TD -126
-Montgomery TD -143
MIA/WAS
-Hill over 100.5 rec yards (104.5, -114)
-Chubb over 0.5 sack -126
ATL/NYJ
-Bijan over 58.5 rush yards (62.5, -130)
-Bijan fantasy under 11.85 points
-Hall over 13.5 rush attempts -150
SF/PHI
-Purdy over 1.5 pass TD -152
-CMC over 16.95 fantasy points (projected 20)
-Kittle over 46.5 rec yards (47.5, -120)
-Devonte Smith over 57.5 rec yards (60.5, -118)
CLE/LAR
-Ford over 12.5 rush attempts (13.5, -115)
-Tillman under 19.5 rec yards (17.5, -123)
KICKER PROPS
Folk over 1.5 FG -134
Boswell over 1.5 FG -141
Prater over 1.5 FG -127
OUR PICKS AND BETS
For those of you that are new, what I like to do is build a base of 2 picks that I feel most confident about and build it up to a full 5 leg parlay.
FIRST PARLAY
BASE: 1 unit +300
Breece Hall over 13.5 rush attempts
Ammendola over 2.5 extra points made
3 LEG: 0.5 unit +500
Breece Hall over 13.5 rush attempts
Ammendola over 2.5 extra points made
Bijan under 11.85 fantasy points
4 LEG: 0.25 unit +1080
Breece Hall over 13.5 rush attempts
Ammendola over 2.5 extra points made
Bijan under 11.85 fantasy points
Chubb over 0.5 sacks
5 LEG: 0.25 unit +1900
Breece Hall over 13.5 rush attempts
Ammendola over 2.5 extra points made
Bijan under 11.85 fantasy points
Chubb over 0.5 sacks
Montgomery TD
SECOND PARLAY
BASE: 1 unit +300
Tillman under 19.5 rec yards
Devonte Smith over 57.5 rec yards
3 LEG: 0.5 unit +500
Tillman under 19.5 rec yards
Devonte Smith over 57.5 rec yards
Singletary over 56.5 rush yards
4 LEG: 0.25 unit +1080
Tillman under 19.5 rec yards
Devonte Smith over 57.5 rec yards
Singletary over 56.5 rush yards
Russel Wilson under 24.5 rush yards
5 LEG: 0.25 unit +1900
Tillman under 19.5 rec yards
Devonte Smith over 57.5 rec yards
Singletary over 56.5 rush yards
Russel Wilson under 24.5 rush yards
Mostert TD
MY PERSONAL 4 LEG PARLAY +1000
Purdy over 1.5 pass TDs
Najee under 0.5 TDs
Terry McLaurin under 5 receptions
Bijan under 11.95 fantasy points
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Here's where the money is at in MLB today!
Rumble link:
https://rumble.com/v2xmf3k-mlb-daily-betting-report-july-2-2023.html
Here's today's games!
Rumble link:
https://rumble.com/v2x0jvl-mlb-daily-betting-report-june-29-2023.html
Jackson Dart under 40.5 rushing yards
Dart became the third player in NFL history to rush for 50+ yards in his first three games.
But his injury/concussion he had last week nearly gave Deboll a heart attack when he had to let Russell Wilson come in the game. Look for Deboll to not rush Dart much in this game and to encourage him to not be so reckless when he takes off.
Denver is really good at stopping running QBs. Since the start of last season Denver has only allowed 1 QB to go over 40.5 rush yards. They stopped Lamar, Hurts, Allen, Herbert, Fields and many more. Now they are home ready to take on this rookie QB.
How are NFL teams doing against the spread this season?
THE BEST (ALL 4-2 ATS)
Colts
Lions
Seahawks
Buccaneers
Rams
Patriots
Panthers
Jaguars
THE BAD (ALL 2-4 ATS)
Bengals
Titans
Raiders
Browns
Saints
Bills
Broncos
THE WORST (1-5 ATS)
Ravens
NFL WEEK 3 CARD
SIDES AND ML
TEN +3.5 +100
TEN ML +174
CAR +5.5
CAR ML +203
LV +3.5
LV ML +148
GB -7.5
MIN -3
LAR +3 +104
LAR ML +165
HOU ML +110
DEN +3 -120
NO +7.5
TEASERS
POOL
MIA +17.5
MIA/BUF O 44.5
CAR +11.5
LV +9.5
GB -1.5
HOU +7
DEN +9
NO +13.5
LAR +9
NYJ +12.5
MY TEASER PICKS
MIA +17.5 / BUF-MIA O 44.5 / GB -1.5 +155
LAR +9 / HOU +7 / NO +13.5 +150
CAR +11.5 / GB -1.5 / DEN +9 +150
LV +9.5 / NYJ +12.5 / NO +13.5 +160
Here's everything I'm on for the big game. I have several big bets, parlays, props, and long shot props!
I'm betting this game to make a profit, not how I think it will play out. I honestly don't care either way who wins this game, nor do I have a strong feeling on how it will play out. It's all about making money. I'll specify my strategies with certain bets on how I'm going to play them.
My overall thoughts on the game is the Eagles have the better roster, are the better team, have the ability to control this game and drain clock. Which is exactly why I expect the Chiefs to end up winning.
WILL ADD MORE OVER THE WEEKEND SO CHECK BACK
