FULL CARD 4/3/21
5-2 yesterday bringing us to 8-5 on the month. Huge day in the NBA I felt like I was just seeing things correctly. MLB on the other hand was rough and missing the under by 1 run was a bummer. Today's card I will break down the Final 4 matchups and give you my NBA/MLB picks at the end.
PICK OF THE DAY
I ran that promo yesterday and didn't have any new members join which I chalk up to poor timing on my hand so I'm going to try and run it another time. I will still honor it and give you my pick.
TEASER: GONZAGA -8, HOUSTON +11 (-150)
I know it's paying some juice but I don't see how this doesn't hit unless Houston gets absolutely destroyed. I don't think UCLA can keep up in points with the Zags to keep it to a single digit game.
THE FINAL 4
BAYLOR V HOUSTON
With the line being -5 I feel you have two options here. If you like Baylor you lay the 5. If you like Houston you look at the ML +190. Yes you could take the 5 points with Houston but the way these games have been going if it's close and they are down they foul and keep fouling and a 3 points game can turn into an 8 point game real quick. So I feel there is extra value in taking the +190.
The total of 134.5 seems low to me. I think after last weekend with so many unders that hit the public and books have over adjusted the line and we have value on the over in both games today.
GONZAGA V UCLA
I feel I don't have much to say that you probably haven't already heard about this game. If you're brave enough to take UCLA ML I applaud you because I'm not. And I don't blame anyone not wanting to lay 14 points. I think you either pass, lay 14 with Gonzaga, or bet big to win a little on Gonzaga ML. This is also why I like the teaser pick I gave above. I would also look to playing over 146.
THE CARD
HOUSTON ML +190 (2*)
HOUSTON/BAYLOR O 134.5 (3*)
GONZAGA -14 (2*)
WAS +6 (1*)
NYK/DET O 201.5 (1*)
IND +5 (2*)
SAC +6.5 (2*)
BLUE JAYS +1.5 (1*)
I also will be playing HOU ML/O134.5 = +450
I feel every time I do these parlays and they hit I forget to share them like a +900 I had yesterday. So those of you that enjoy parlays that's what I'm on.