FULL CARD 4/3/21
5-2 yesterday bringing us to 8-5 on the month. Huge day in the NBA I felt like I was just seeing things correctly. MLB on the other hand was rough and missing the under by 1 run was a bummer. Today's card I will break down the Final 4 matchups and give you my NBA/MLB picks at the end.
PICK OF THE DAY
I ran that promo yesterday and didn't have any new members join which I chalk up to poor timing on my hand so I'm going to try and run it another time. I will still honor it and give you my pick.
TEASER: GONZAGA -8, HOUSTON +11 (-150)
I know it's paying some juice but I don't see how this doesn't hit unless Houston gets absolutely destroyed. I don't think UCLA can keep up in points with the Zags to keep it to a single digit game.
THE FINAL 4
BAYLOR V HOUSTON
With the line being -5 I feel you have two options here. If you like Baylor you lay the 5. If you like Houston you look at the ML +190. Yes you could take the 5 points with Houston but the way these games have been going if it's close and they are down they foul and keep fouling and a 3 points game can turn into an 8 point game real quick. So I feel there is extra value in taking the +190.
The total of 134.5 seems low to me. I think after last weekend with so many unders that hit the public and books have over adjusted the line and we have value on the over in both games today.
GONZAGA V UCLA
I feel I don't have much to say that you probably haven't already heard about this game. If you're brave enough to take UCLA ML I applaud you because I'm not. And I don't blame anyone not wanting to lay 14 points. I think you either pass, lay 14 with Gonzaga, or bet big to win a little on Gonzaga ML. This is also why I like the teaser pick I gave above. I would also look to playing over 146.
THE CARD
HOUSTON ML +190 (2*)
HOUSTON/BAYLOR O 134.5 (3*)
GONZAGA -14 (2*)
WAS +6 (1*)
NYK/DET O 201.5 (1*)
IND +5 (2*)
SAC +6.5 (2*)
BLUE JAYS +1.5 (1*)
I also will be playing HOU ML/O134.5 = +450
I feel every time I do these parlays and they hit I forget to share them like a +900 I had yesterday. So those of you that enjoy parlays that's what I'm on.
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Here's where the money is at in MLB today!
Rumble link:
https://rumble.com/v2xmf3k-mlb-daily-betting-report-july-2-2023.html
Here's today's games!
Rumble link:
https://rumble.com/v2x0jvl-mlb-daily-betting-report-june-29-2023.html
Thursday October 23rd Betting Card
Here’s everything that I am on today. I will start getting these out to everyone going forward especially with the 4 major sports all in action now. I will list the sportsbook betting line and the Kalshi line. I RECOMMENDED BETTING ON KALSHI OR ANOTHER EXCHANGE BECAUSE OF THE CHANCE TO CASH OUT EARLY.
NFL EARLY SUNDAY KALSHI PLAY
I bought the Bears at 28%. My theory is Lamar is not going to play and if that happens this will be up at 40% or higher before we even kickoff and we can cash out at a winner. Even if Lamar does play, I like this number. Defense is still bad for Baltimore. Lamar is at a high risk to reinjury his hamstring. Bears score first and we cash out at a profit.
NFL
Vikings at Chargers
Vikings +3.5
Vikings ML +157 (Kalshi 39%, sell at 80%+)
To Score A TD
Justin Jefferson (Kalshi 38%)
TJ Hockenson (Kalshi 28%)
1st TD
Justin Jefferson (Kalshi 10%)
TJ Hockenson (Kalshi 7%)
To Score 2+ TDs
Justin Jefferson (Kalshi 8%)
NBA
OKC ML (Kalshi...
Jackson Dart under 40.5 rushing yards
Dart became the third player in NFL history to rush for 50+ yards in his first three games.
But his injury/concussion he had last week nearly gave Deboll a heart attack when he had to let Russell Wilson come in the game. Look for Deboll to not rush Dart much in this game and to encourage him to not be so reckless when he takes off.
Denver is really good at stopping running QBs. Since the start of last season Denver has only allowed 1 QB to go over 40.5 rush yards. They stopped Lamar, Hurts, Allen, Herbert, Fields and many more. Now they are home ready to take on this rookie QB.
NFL WEEK 3 CARD
SIDES AND ML
TEN +3.5 +100
TEN ML +174
CAR +5.5
CAR ML +203
LV +3.5
LV ML +148
GB -7.5
MIN -3
LAR +3 +104
LAR ML +165
HOU ML +110
DEN +3 -120
NO +7.5
TEASERS
POOL
MIA +17.5
MIA/BUF O 44.5
CAR +11.5
LV +9.5
GB -1.5
HOU +7
DEN +9
NO +13.5
LAR +9
NYJ +12.5
MY TEASER PICKS
MIA +17.5 / BUF-MIA O 44.5 / GB -1.5 +155
LAR +9 / HOU +7 / NO +13.5 +150
CAR +11.5 / GB -1.5 / DEN +9 +150
LV +9.5 / NYJ +12.5 / NO +13.5 +160
Here's everything I'm on for the big game. I have several big bets, parlays, props, and long shot props!
I'm betting this game to make a profit, not how I think it will play out. I honestly don't care either way who wins this game, nor do I have a strong feeling on how it will play out. It's all about making money. I'll specify my strategies with certain bets on how I'm going to play them.
My overall thoughts on the game is the Eagles have the better roster, are the better team, have the ability to control this game and drain clock. Which is exactly why I expect the Chiefs to end up winning.
WILL ADD MORE OVER THE WEEKEND SO CHECK BACK
