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June 12th, 2024
June 11, 2024
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Today's show is sponsored by Underdog Fantasy! We will be making picks for the NBA Finals game 3 over on Underdog Fantasy!

Go to Underdog Fantasy and use promo code RUMBLE to get your first deposit matched up to $250!

Now I know a lot of you probably already have signed up from the last time we did this but the promo code doesn't say specifically it has to be a new account. BUT even if so, sign your friend, your wife, or hell make a new email and resign up as your second personality so you can get a FREE $250 PLUS a bonus free bet that they are offering today (Tatum over 0.5 points! Only good for new accounts).

Take advange of this offer and get yourself some free money to wager with. It also helps our show the more people that sign up, so it's a win/win all around.

NBA FINALS GAME 3 PREVIEW:

  • Dallas is a 2.5 point favorite for game 3 after being 7 point dogs in game 1 and 2.
  • A 9.5 point adjustment normally would be too much of an adjustment for just flipping home court BUT you have to remember this is a MUST WIN GAME. They lose this and the Finals is over because no one has ever comeback down 3-0 in the NBA playoffs. Now maybe you think this still too much of an adjustment and if that's the case then you are getting value on BOS here.
  • When both games 1 and 2 go under in an NBA playoff series the under in game 3 hits 57% of the time (90 times since 2002).
  • But if we just look at the Finals, since 2002 there have been 5 times an NBA Finals game 1 and 2 have both went under and each time game 3 has gone OVER. I wonder what makes the Finals series different than other playoff series BUT also it's a small sample size of 5 vs a sample size of 90 for all series.
  • In all playoff series, if you lose both games 1 and 2 and you're favored in game 3, you cover 60.2% of the time.
  • Why is this? Because you can't fake desperate and the Mavericks are desperate for a win here in game 3.
  • Porzingis is quesitonable to return this series with "rare" leg injury Porzingis Injury

UFC 303 STILL IN DOUBT:

  • As Crickett and I have been saying since last week, McGregor is not going to fight on this card. I can't believe the UFC is still pushing that this fight is going to happen (possibly setting themselves up to get sued) but reports are the UFC is calling other fighters to fill in UFC 303
  • McGregor mocks the weak PPV buys for UFC 302 500k PPV for UFC 302

NFL NEWS:

  • Aaron Rodgers is taking some "personal" time instead of attending mini camp Rodgers
  • CMC is on this year's Madden cover. Terrible news for SF fans and us who like to bet on him because the Madden curse is REAL! Be cautious this season my friends. Madden
  • Amari Cooper absent from minicamp for the Browns Amari Cooper
  • Russel Wilson feels "revived" Let Russ Cook

RANDOM NEWS:

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Stugotz's Personal Record Book Chapter 10

Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".

You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595

00:19:50
Stugotz's Personal Record Book Chapter 9

Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".

You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595

00:18:06
Stugotz's Personal Record Book Chapter 8

Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".

You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595

00:10:02
MLB Daily Betting Report

Here's where the money is at in MLB today!

Rumble link:
https://rumble.com/v2xmf3k-mlb-daily-betting-report-july-2-2023.html

MLB Daily Betting Report
MLB Daily Betting Report
MLB Daily Betting Report
MLB Daily Betting Report
December 05, 2025
NCAA BEST BET

ALT LINE: Boise St -7.5, 40 cents on Kalshi

UNLV hasn't beat Boise St since 1976! Don't be fooled by UNLV's record this has always gone wrong for them when they have to go up and play on the smurf turf. Maybe it's the cold weather that they aren't use to I don't know but what I do know is when Boise St wins they win big. This game was played once already at Boise St this season and they won 56-31! That doesn't seem like a fluke to me.

December 05, 2025
NBA BEST BET

Giannis Antetokounmpo's next team: Spurs

Currenlty 11% on Kalshi (+900)

Stays with Milwaukee or Retires: NO

Currently 70% on Kalshi (-230)

There's zero chance Giannis stays in Milwaukee. He doesn't want to be there anymore and the team would be foolish not to trade him before the deadline this season with the teams out there that have a lot to offer. Milwaukee needs young talent and draft picks as they currently don't have either right now. ATL has their first round pick next year so they can't even tank to get a lottery pick.

Why I like the Spurs to be the team: they have the most to offer. Historically the Spurs don't make these kind of moves. But there is A LOT of hype in San Antonio right now because the voters just passed the "Project Marvel" levy last month that is going to build a new stadium downtown. This is going to make San Antonio a destination city with the type of events they will be able to host along with having the Spurs play there. They want BIG names and right now...

December 01, 2025
Community Update

Thanks to everyone who is subscribed to this community and especially the supporters on here and on our channel!

I'm going to make it a priority to put more content up on Locals and am curious of what you guys would like to see. Picks, videos, anything just comment and let me know.

September 18, 2025
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NFL WEEK 3 BETTING CARD

NFL WEEK 3 CARD

 

SIDES AND ML

 

TEN +3.5 +100

TEN ML +174

CAR +5.5

CAR ML +203

LV +3.5

LV ML +148

GB -7.5

MIN -3

LAR +3 +104

LAR ML +165

HOU ML +110

DEN +3 -120

NO +7.5

 

TEASERS

 

POOL

MIA +17.5

MIA/BUF O 44.5

CAR +11.5

LV +9.5

GB -1.5

HOU +7

DEN +9

NO +13.5

LAR +9

NYJ +12.5

 

MY TEASER PICKS

 

MIA +17.5 / BUF-MIA O 44.5 / GB -1.5 +155

LAR +9 / HOU +7 / NO +13.5 +150

CAR +11.5 / GB -1.5 / DEN +9 +150

LV +9.5 / NYJ +12.5 / NO +13.5 +160

Read full Article
August 19, 2025
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The Bengals Are WASTING Joe Burrow's Career!
It's silly to overreact to one game, especially a preseason game where teams are not at full potential. In the sports betting world you never want to react to a small sample size and instead focus on a trend or team that gives you the most relevant data points possible. But when the small sample size correlates with the long historical trend then IT'S TIME TO BE WORRIED!
 
That's EXACTLY what is happening with the Bengals. Last night's game was a pointless preseason game where the Bengals decided to play their starters for the first quarter. It was more of the same of what we saw last season. Burrow had to be a magician to make plays happen, the offensive line could not protect, and their defense couldn't stop a high school team from running on them.
 
But maybe Burrow is getting exactly what he deserves. Afterall, he took the big payday (which he deserves) and he advocated for the team to pay BOTH his WRs Chase and Higgins instead of spending more money on the offensive line or defense. Here's the current contract for just 3 players on the Bengals:
 
  • Burrow: 5 years, $275 million, $219 million guaranteed
  • Chase: 4 years, $161 million, $112 million guaranteed
  • Higgins: 4 years, $115 million, $60 million guaranteed
 
That's $124 million per year for 3 players. The salary cap for the 25 season is $279 million and the Bengals are spending roughly 44% of their cap space on 3 players. Now we all know the cap goes up every year but still you will be spending over a third of your cap on 3 players for the next 4 years.
 
THE BENGALS NEED TO OPEN THE CHECKBOOK AND START SPENDING MONEY ON OFFENSIVE LINE AND THEIR DEFENSE OR TRADE AWAY BURROW!
 
The last part of that is not going to happen but should be seriously considered! They are wasting his career and Burrow may go down in the history books as the next Dan Mario. Really good but never had enough around him to win the big game that matters.
 
What can the Bengals do now? First, they can take care of this Trey Hendrickson situation. Either pay the man or trade him away for draft capital. If this season ends up being a disaster like last season (as I predict) and they are able to secure extra draft pick(s), they will be set up to get one of the top linemen in next year's draft.
 
Or just pay the man. Normally I would say 1 player does not make a difference on the defense overall, but here's the numbers of when Hendrickson is on the field and when he's not:
 
#32 pressure rate
#32 completion rate alowed
#32 success rate alowed
#32 passer rating alowed
 
But when Hendrickson plays, the Bengals pass defense ranks top 12 in each of those categories.
 
Hendrickson also had back to back 17.5 sack seasons. Only other players to do this in NFL history is JJ Watt and Reggie White. He has 35 sacks the last 2 seasons and no other Bengals has more than 8.
 
PAY THE MAN OR GET DRAFT PICKS TO GET MUCH NEEDED HELP FOR YOU OFFENSIVE LINE AND QUARTER OF A BILLION DOLLAR QB!
 
Let’s look at Cincy’s offensive line ranking in pass block win rate by year:
2021: #30
2022: #30
2023: #27
2024: #32
 
Not good.
 
For 2025 the Bengals rank 23rd in spending on their offensive line with $41.9 million. They are paying as much for the whole offensive line as they are for 1 WR.
 
Make it make sense.
 
Bottom line, Bengals need to get serious about building their team. DO NOT WASTE YOUR GENERATIONAL QB! Start addressing the oline, find a way to get your defense to be average, and draft better. Or you may as well trade Burrow and continue to be one of the biggest jokes of the league.
Read full Article
February 07, 2025
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Super Bowl Betting Card

SUPER BOWL BETTING CARD

Here's everything I'm on for the big game. I have several big bets, parlays, props, and long shot props!

I'm betting this game to make a profit, not how I think it will play out. I honestly don't care either way who wins this game, nor do I have a strong feeling on how it will play out. It's all about making money. I'll specify my strategies with certain bets on how I'm going to play them. 

My overall thoughts on the game is the Eagles have the better roster, are the better team, have the ability to control this game and drain clock. Which is exactly why I expect the Chiefs to end up winning.

WILL ADD MORE OVER THE WEEKEND SO CHECK BACK

STRAIGHT BETS

  • Kalshi: BIG bet on Eagles to win at 48%. Honestly, don't care who wins, what I'm doing here is betting the Eagles as the dog and planning to sell out of the position if they take a lead in this game. Then, depending how the game is going, I will buy back in on the Chiefs. May just go back and forth with this strategy expecting it to be a close game. That's what's nice about Kalshi is you can sell out of your position anytime you want.
  • 1Q TT: KC under 3.5 -110 AND PHI under 3.5
    • This is not a parlay, bet them seperate. Over the last 10 SBs, 5 times both teams have gone under, 4 times it has split 1-1, and only once have both teams gone over. With two teams who play good defense and have the ability to sustain long drives, plus with the history of at least 1 team starting slow in the SB, I think this is a great bet and at worst we go 1-1 and only lose a little on the vig.
  • 1Q UNDER 9.5
  • GAME TOTAL OVER 48.5 -112
  • EAGLES ALT LINE -7.5 +330
  • CHIEFS ALT LINE -7.5 +283
  • 1Q EXACT SCORE:
    • KC 3 PHI 0 +1400
    • KC 3 PHI 3 +2500

PARLAYS

  • +2600
    • MAHOMES OVER 24.5 COMPLETIONS
    • BARKLEY UNDER 114.5 RUSH YARDS
    • WORTHY TD
    • SMITH TD
  • PHI 1H / KC GAME +550
  • MAHOMES UNDER 30.5 RUSH YARDS / OVER 6.5 ATTEMPTS +425
    • If you like KC to win the game then you will love this bet. Remember, kneel downs count as rush attempts and Mahomes known to take 3-5 yard kneel downs in the SB so even if he gets over 30.5 yards we are still in play for this one.

PROPS

  • COIN TOSS: HEADS -101
  • EAGLES ROUGHING THE PASSER PENALTY: YES +170
  • KICK TO DONK OFF UPRIGHT: YES +550

LONGSHOTS

  • BUTKER MVP +10000
  • TRIPLE CROWN: MAHOMES / WORTHY / HURTS +5000
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