Just incase I can't get the main article out before kickoff, here's what you need to know for the game tonight.
WEEK 2 STATS, TRENDS, AND BETS
TNF: BILLS AT DOLPHINS
Current Odds: Dolphins -2, O/U 49
GAME FORECAST: 83*F Mostly Cloudy, Winds 3.43 SSE
STATS/TRENDS:
-Thursday home teams are 37-51 ATS since 2019. When the spread is 4 or less, home teams in this spot are 19-28 ATS.
-Josh Allen is 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS in week 2. Bills have won five straight week 2 games SU.
-Josh Allen and the Bills have lost by 6 or less (or won the game) 42 games in a row. Bills are a great teaser leg.
-Tua is 2-1 SU in week 2 games, only lossing to Josh Allen.
-Allen is 4-2-1 ATS against Tua and covers the spread by 12.1 PPG
-Bills failed to cover the spread week 1. They have only started the season 0-2 ATS three times since 2003, and haven't done so since 2018.
-Bills came back from 14+ points down to win in week 1. Teams who play on the road after a SU win where they had a 14+ point comeback are 54-90 SU and 61-82-2 ATS in their next game.
-Weeks 1-4 Tua is 4-1 SU at home and Mike McDaniels is 4-0 SU in that spot
-Tua is 29-23-1 ATS in his career BUT is 18-9-1 ATS at home, along with being 26-14-1 ATS when playing in the eastern time zone
-Week 1 was the 4th time the Dolphins overcame a deficit of 14+ points under MIke McDaniel, which is the most in the NFL since 2022.
MY THOUGHTS/BET(S):
-I may be biased with my anti Bills take for the season. But what we saw on Sunday was this Bills team can't do anything unless it's Josh Allen playing Superman. Yet, I can't ignore how the Bills have had the Dolphins number under Allen. Just look at last year, the Dolphins had a chance to win the division week 18 with the game being in Miami and they collapsed. Now, you might say that this was late in the season where the Dolphins have been terrible under McDaniels and this game is early in the season, and you would have an argument.
-I also cannot ignore that the Bills have played 42 straight games where they have either won OR lost by 6 or less points.
-Therefore, my best bet for today's game is to tease the Bills up to 8.5 with another game on Sunday that you like. Viable options to me are Ravens, Packers, SEA/NE under, Chiefs, and Broncos. I will be doing a 3 leg teaser like I always do.
-I also lean to the over and don't mind it as a teaser leg, although teasing totals isn't always the best.
-Props I like are Josh Allen over rushing yards, Knox over receiving yards, Waddle TD, and Tua over passing yards.
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".
You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595
Here's where the money is at in MLB today!
Rumble link:
https://rumble.com/v2xmf3k-mlb-daily-betting-report-july-2-2023.html
Here's today's games!
Rumble link:
https://rumble.com/v2x0jvl-mlb-daily-betting-report-june-29-2023.html
Jackson Dart under 40.5 rushing yards
Dart became the third player in NFL history to rush for 50+ yards in his first three games.
But his injury/concussion he had last week nearly gave Deboll a heart attack when he had to let Russell Wilson come in the game. Look for Deboll to not rush Dart much in this game and to encourage him to not be so reckless when he takes off.
Denver is really good at stopping running QBs. Since the start of last season Denver has only allowed 1 QB to go over 40.5 rush yards. They stopped Lamar, Hurts, Allen, Herbert, Fields and many more. Now they are home ready to take on this rookie QB.
How are NFL teams doing against the spread this season?
THE BEST (ALL 4-2 ATS)
Colts
Lions
Seahawks
Buccaneers
Rams
Patriots
Panthers
Jaguars
THE BAD (ALL 2-4 ATS)
Bengals
Titans
Raiders
Browns
Saints
Bills
Broncos
THE WORST (1-5 ATS)
Ravens
NFL WEEK 3 CARD
SIDES AND ML
TEN +3.5 +100
TEN ML +174
CAR +5.5
CAR ML +203
LV +3.5
LV ML +148
GB -7.5
MIN -3
LAR +3 +104
LAR ML +165
HOU ML +110
DEN +3 -120
NO +7.5
TEASERS
POOL
MIA +17.5
MIA/BUF O 44.5
CAR +11.5
LV +9.5
GB -1.5
HOU +7
DEN +9
NO +13.5
LAR +9
NYJ +12.5
MY TEASER PICKS
MIA +17.5 / BUF-MIA O 44.5 / GB -1.5 +155
LAR +9 / HOU +7 / NO +13.5 +150
CAR +11.5 / GB -1.5 / DEN +9 +150
LV +9.5 / NYJ +12.5 / NO +13.5 +160
Here's everything I'm on for the big game. I have several big bets, parlays, props, and long shot props!
I'm betting this game to make a profit, not how I think it will play out. I honestly don't care either way who wins this game, nor do I have a strong feeling on how it will play out. It's all about making money. I'll specify my strategies with certain bets on how I'm going to play them.
My overall thoughts on the game is the Eagles have the better roster, are the better team, have the ability to control this game and drain clock. Which is exactly why I expect the Chiefs to end up winning.
WILL ADD MORE OVER THE WEEKEND SO CHECK BACK
