Went 1-1 yesterday and some bonus winners if you were able to live bet during the game, bringing us to 4-1 this NBA playoff season. Spurs/Griz start off with a 57 point first Q then follow it up with a 48, 32, 59 which just crushed our chances at the over. But there was an opportunity at half time to hedge out and I'll be doing a "Live Betting Strategies" episode on it this weekend so stay tuned.

I didn't have time to get out content for the PGA Championship that started today and Erik who gave us such good content is currently on vacation but I may be able to get him on this weekend to get some bets in for the second half of the tournament. I'll also put together some plays after the first round today and let you know what I like.

Today I'll breakdown Pacers vs Wizards and then give you some odds on some series I like for the first round. Also, tomorrow night for those of you who like to enter NBA bracket tournaments I'll post mine and how I see the playoffs playing out.

Pacers vs Wizards

Picks: Pacers ML +145

I was going to also play Westbrook to record a triple double but the odds are -480 which has no value. If anything if you could bet NO on that at +375 that would be a great value play. I think the Wizards are the better team here but these two teams played a couple weeks ago twice and split the games and we saw ridiculous scoring in both games that I think either of these teams has a shot so take the dog for value. Plus, I think the loss to the Celtics is going to weigh heavily on the Wizards as they were the public favorite and it felt like it was a deflating moment when they got blown out. I'll take the team coming off a win and who had great play from their bench.

The total is very hard for me to play. I lean under because it's the playoffs and 237.5 is a lot of points but the last two times they played a couple weeks ago it went into the 290's and 280's. But they are the highest pace of play teams and neither wants to play defense. I lean under but I'll officially stay away.

1st round series picks

All these will be value picks on some dogs I like. Note that if you like a dog to win a series you're better off betting them game by game as long as they continue to be a dog.

HEAT +250

They did it last year and they have a shot at beating the Bucks again this year. Maybe this is the year the Bucks break out, but you can't ignore the experience and recent success the Heat have had especially when playing this team.

Mavericks +350

This one might be a wait and see how game 1 goes but it's a complete fade on the Clippers. The Clippers should win but over this season and last they haven't taken the next step to make you feel they are a dominate team. Mavericks are a one trick pony but maybe they can pull that trick 4 times this series to win it.

Nuggets +103

I can't believe they are the dogs here and this is my favorite play. Blazers are good but I think they will run out of gas. Sure Dame will have several big games but I could see the Nuggets closing this series out 4-2.

Suns +140

I would wait to see if this number goes up as the public hammers the Lakers but I think the suns have a legit chance to beat the Lakers. Won't be easy but I could see it happening. At this number I would probably rather bet each game individually but worth a look at the Suns.