1-3 yesterday bringing us down to earth a little bit after a couple monster days BUT still sitting at 21-12 (64%) for the NBA playoffs. Three games tonight and I like plays for each game.
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Before I get into today's games I want to give out some series picks that I think we have value on.
Denver +160 I think Denver wins this series and I believe they will split these two games in Portland. Betting them now with plus money I think is value but I wouldn't fault anyone who likes them to bet them on the ML tonight instead. I'll play it safe and instead of guessing which game they will win (3 or 4 or both) I'll take them to win the series.
Mavericks -260 I know you have to lay a lot of juice here but statistically the Mavs should win this series based on history. Up 2-0 going home for 2 games and clearly can play with the Clippers. Feels like a sure bet to me.
Bucks vs Heat
Picks: under 225.5, Dragic u 16.5 pts, Butler o 6.5 ast, Giannis u 13.5 rbs
This series has been tough for me because I like the Heat and game 1 went how I thought a close competitive game but Bucks pull out the win. Game 2 I thought would be similar but MIL could not miss from 3 in the 1st half which gave them too big of a lead for the Heat to comeback. I lean towards the Heat in this game as I don't see them going down 3 games to none BUT crazier things have happened. I expect this game to be more like game 1 and that has me on the under here.
Suns vs Lakers
Picks: Suns +7, over 210.5, Drummond o 9.5 rbs
I understand the Suns will not have a healthy CP3. But I think last game they were caught off guard by it and as you saw in the second half players figured out their new role and who needed to step up. Lakers clearly are going to try to go BIG against the suns and that's why I like Drummond here as he's doing the dirty work down low. If Booker can bring it all game and someone else steps up with him I think they have the fire power to keep up in points with the Lakers, keep it a close game, and this games goes over.
Nuggets vs Blazers
Picks: Nuggets +4, o 227.5
As stated above I like the Nuggets to win this series and I don't know if it'll be game 3 or 4 they take but giving us 4 points we have to take that all day long. I don't see either of these teams deciding to step up their defense here in game 3 and I expect us to get a lot of scoring tonight. Should be a good game and I'll take the points with the dog.