9-2 yesterday! Huge day bringing us to 39-22 (64%) this NBA postseason.

One thing we can learn from yesterday that I feel I missed on and honestly can't believe I didn't pick up on it was betting on the team that's down 0-3 at home. Now I was right that the Bucks would win and end the series but Heat came out strong first half which is something I didn't think about. They won the 1Q and the half but in the end the better team (Bucks) stepped up in the second half and that's when you could see the players realizing their season was done. Let's keep that as a mental note for the next time we find ourselves with that opportunity. And it won't happen for every series, for example I don't think the Wizards have a shot, but when teams are more even in talent/skill I would expect it to happen more often.

Knicks vs Hawks

Pick: Hawks TT o 106.5

I like the Hawks here as I had them to win this series before it started. This is a key game for them and they know it. They have shown to be the better team in this series and I expect them to get it done to go up 3-1 knowing that winning game 5 in NY will be tough but they'll have game 6 at home to close out. I like the team total here as I keep thinking we are going to hit the over in these games but NY keeps slipping. Hawks are on a roll and at home I'll take them to beat this number.

Suns vs Lakers

Pick: Suns TT 1H o 49.5, Suns ML 1H +170

I don't know what we are going to see from the Suns this game. Maybe they are better off sitting CP3 and starting Payne (who caught fire game 2 when he was in). I think it would allow them to play a more high pace game and give them a shot to win, especially if they are hot from 3. Either way I expect the Suns to be more aggressive here early on and that's why I'm on the 1H with both picks. These seem to be correlated as well because if the Suns do win the first half you have to expect they score over 50. I don't want to play a side on the full game because the Lakers have shown they can turn it on at any point and the Suns get cold fast. But keep an eye on the Suns and maybe look to live bet this game in the 2nd half.

Nets vs Celtics

Pick: Nets TT o 118.5

Should the Nets cover this game? Yes! Will they? Probably. I don't think the Celtics can put together another great game like they did game 3 and really we kind of just saw the Nets go cold. Either way even if this is a competitive close game I would expect it to be a shoot out rather than a defensive battle and therefore I'll be on the Nets TT to go over.

Clippers vs Mavs

Pick: Mavs ML +140

As I said the other day we would get two shots at this. Mavs were a dog in game 3 and are again here in game 4. I said they are going to win either game 3 or 4 if not both well here we are and I'm sticking to it. Mavs get it one today go up 3-1 heading back to LA to close out the series.