Jazz v Clippers Game 3 + UFC 263
4-3 yesterday with Jokic triple double +450 cashing! Big day for us but it's only the start! And what better way to keep the streak going than having a UFC card to bet on! We have hit some big bets the last 3 UFC cards including several +650! I'll see if I can find some gems for you guys tonight.
NBA postseason record 81-54
(for those of you that are new that record isn't all ATS, it's everything. I pick a lot of dogs and I throw in favorites as well. I mainly bring you what I think will cash or where I see value. Like taking Jokic last night at +450)
Jazz v Clippers
Pick: Jazz +5
As we have talked about, it's hard to be up 2-0 go on the road and win game 3! Nets couldn't do it but Suns had no problem last night. Everyone will be on the Clippers tonight, hence why they are the favorites. Nothing tells me that we should be though. Clippers need to win but there have been many must win games for the Clippers this season and they don't always show up. Plus they are coming off two must wins in the last series. I don't know if the Jazz will win tonight but 5 points is A LOT. Take the points especially with a team like the Jazz that can shoot the lights out on any given night.
UFC 263
Movsar Evloev v Hawkeem Dawodu
Pick: Dawodu +205
Small bet here but I believe we are getting great value. Evloev is 14-0 which is why Dawodu is an underdog here. But Dawodu is one hell of a fighter with only 1 loss on his record that was back in 2018 and was via submission in the first 39 seconds. Since then he has not lost. Maybe Evoloev is the next great fighter but at these odds I'll take Dawodu to get it done.
Drew Dober v Brad Riddell
Pick: Riddell +125
Another value play here with the dog. This will be close but I think Riddell will take a leap here by getting past Dober.
Demian Maia v Belal Muhammad
Pick: Muhammad via decision +105
This will probably be Maia's last fight in the UFC and this one might not be all that exciting. I don't think Maia will catch Muhammad in a submission (which is the only way he wins this). I expect this to be boring and Muhammad dominates the ground game to win via decision.
Nate Diaz v Leon Edwards
Pick: Diaz via submission +1100
Sprinkle a little on this don't go crazy but this is how I see the only way Diaz wins this matchup. Edwards should win this fight as we don't know what we will get from Diaz after being off so long. But what I can tell you is this is going to be entertaining because what Diaz fight isn't? He always delivers and he has a legit chance to catch Edwards in a submission. Especially since this is a 5 round fight.
Brandon Moreno v Deiveson Figueiredo
Pick: Figueiredo -190
Last time these guys fought it was probably the best fight in flyweight history. But I don't think Moreno can bring what he brought last time as it's hard to repeat that intensity after being in a WAR. The fight went to a draw last time but Figueiredo gets it done this time as he's the bigger and better fighter.
Israel Adesanya v Marvin Vetorri
Pick: Adesanya via KO/TKO rd 1 +500, rd 2 +700
I'll be betting Adesanya wins this via KO/TKO and looking to bet both first and second round. Last time they fought this went the distance. Adesanya is a smart fighter and isn't afraid to make it boring and win by points by picking apart his opponent. He won't do that this time for 2 reasons. First this went the distance last time and he has stated he wants to put Vetorri away this time. Second, he had an embarrassing loss to Jan at light heavy weight last time he was in the octagon and I think he's motivated to show people why he's the middle weight champ.