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Jazz v Clippers Game 3 + UFC 263

4-3 yesterday with Jokic triple double +450 cashing! Big day for us but it's only the start! And what better way to keep the streak going than having a UFC card to bet on! We have hit some big bets the last 3 UFC cards including several +650! I'll see if I can find some gems for you guys tonight.

NBA postseason record 81-54
(for those of you that are new that record isn't all ATS, it's everything. I pick a lot of dogs and I throw in favorites as well. I mainly bring you what I think will cash or where I see value. Like taking Jokic last night at +450)

Jazz v Clippers

Pick: Jazz +5

As we have talked about, it's hard to be up 2-0 go on the road and win game 3! Nets couldn't do it but Suns had no problem last night. Everyone will be on the Clippers tonight, hence why they are the favorites. Nothing tells me that we should be though. Clippers need to win but there have been many must win games for the Clippers this season and they don't always show up. Plus they are coming off two must wins in the last series. I don't know if the Jazz will win tonight but 5 points is A LOT. Take the points especially with a team like the Jazz that can shoot the lights out on any given night.

UFC 263

Movsar Evloev v Hawkeem Dawodu

Pick: Dawodu +205

Small bet here but I believe we are getting great value. Evloev is 14-0 which is why Dawodu is an underdog here. But Dawodu is one hell of a fighter with only 1 loss on his record that was back in 2018 and was via submission in the first 39 seconds. Since then he has not lost. Maybe Evoloev is the next great fighter but at these odds I'll take Dawodu to get it done.

Drew Dober v Brad Riddell

Pick: Riddell +125

Another value play here with the dog. This will be close but I think Riddell will take a leap here by getting past Dober.

Demian Maia v Belal Muhammad

Pick: Muhammad via decision +105

This will probably be Maia's last fight in the UFC and this one might not be all that exciting. I don't think Maia will catch Muhammad in a submission (which is the only way he wins this). I expect this to be boring and Muhammad dominates the ground game to win via decision.

Nate Diaz v Leon Edwards

Pick: Diaz via submission +1100

Sprinkle a little on this don't go crazy but this is how I see the only way Diaz wins this matchup. Edwards should win this fight as we don't know what we will get from Diaz after being off so long. But what I can tell you is this is going to be entertaining because what Diaz fight isn't? He always delivers and he has a legit chance to catch Edwards in a submission. Especially since this is a 5 round fight.

Brandon Moreno v Deiveson Figueiredo

Pick: Figueiredo -190

Last time these guys fought it was probably the best fight in flyweight history. But I don't think Moreno can bring what he brought last time as it's hard to repeat that intensity after being in a WAR. The fight went to a draw last time but Figueiredo gets it done this time as he's the bigger and better fighter.

Israel Adesanya v Marvin Vetorri

Pick: Adesanya via KO/TKO rd 1 +500, rd 2 +700

I'll be betting Adesanya wins this via KO/TKO and looking to bet both first and second round. Last time they fought this went the distance. Adesanya is a smart fighter and isn't afraid to make it boring and win by points by picking apart his opponent. He won't do that this time for 2 reasons. First this went the distance last time and he has stated he wants to put Vetorri away this time. Second, he had an embarrassing loss to Jan at light heavy weight last time he was in the octagon and I think he's motivated to show people why he's the middle weight champ.

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Stugotz's Personal Record Book Chapter 10

Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".

You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595

00:19:50
Stugotz's Personal Record Book Chapter 9

Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".

You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595

00:18:06
Stugotz's Personal Record Book Chapter 8

Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".

You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595

00:10:02
MLB Daily Betting Report

Here's where the money is at in MLB today!

Rumble link:
https://rumble.com/v2xmf3k-mlb-daily-betting-report-july-2-2023.html

MLB Daily Betting Report
MLB Daily Betting Report
MLB Daily Betting Report
MLB Daily Betting Report
October 18, 2025
NFL Week 7 Best Bet

Jackson Dart under 40.5 rushing yards

Dart became the third player in NFL history to rush for 50+ yards in his first three games.
But his injury/concussion he had last week nearly gave Deboll a heart attack when he had to let Russell Wilson come in the game. Look for Deboll to not rush Dart much in this game and to encourage him to not be so reckless when he takes off.

Denver is really good at stopping running QBs. Since the start of last season Denver has only allowed 1 QB to go over 40.5 rush yards. They stopped Lamar, Hurts, Allen, Herbert, Fields and many more. Now they are home ready to take on this rookie QB.

October 14, 2025
NFL Teams Against the Spread This Season

How are NFL teams doing against the spread this season?

THE BEST (ALL 4-2 ATS)

Colts
Lions
Seahawks
Buccaneers
Rams
Patriots
Panthers
Jaguars

THE BAD (ALL 2-4 ATS)

Bengals
Titans
Raiders
Browns
Saints
Bills
Broncos

THE WORST (1-5 ATS)

Ravens

October 14, 2025
NFL Favorites NOT Doing Well In Prime Time

Favorites have lost outright in 6 of the last 7 NFL prime-time games:

TNF: Rams -7.5 LOST
SNF: Bills -8 LOST
MNF: Chiefs -3.5 LOST
TNF: Eagles -7.5 LOST
SNF: Chiefs -2.5 WON
MNF: Bills -3.5 LOST
MNF: Commanders -5.5 LOST

Will this trend continue?

September 18, 2025
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NFL WEEK 3 BETTING CARD

NFL WEEK 3 CARD

 

SIDES AND ML

 

TEN +3.5 +100

TEN ML +174

CAR +5.5

CAR ML +203

LV +3.5

LV ML +148

GB -7.5

MIN -3

LAR +3 +104

LAR ML +165

HOU ML +110

DEN +3 -120

NO +7.5

 

TEASERS

 

POOL

MIA +17.5

MIA/BUF O 44.5

CAR +11.5

LV +9.5

GB -1.5

HOU +7

DEN +9

NO +13.5

LAR +9

NYJ +12.5

 

MY TEASER PICKS

 

MIA +17.5 / BUF-MIA O 44.5 / GB -1.5 +155

LAR +9 / HOU +7 / NO +13.5 +150

CAR +11.5 / GB -1.5 / DEN +9 +150

LV +9.5 / NYJ +12.5 / NO +13.5 +160

Read full Article
August 19, 2025
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The Bengals Are WASTING Joe Burrow's Career!
It's silly to overreact to one game, especially a preseason game where teams are not at full potential. In the sports betting world you never want to react to a small sample size and instead focus on a trend or team that gives you the most relevant data points possible. But when the small sample size correlates with the long historical trend then IT'S TIME TO BE WORRIED!
 
That's EXACTLY what is happening with the Bengals. Last night's game was a pointless preseason game where the Bengals decided to play their starters for the first quarter. It was more of the same of what we saw last season. Burrow had to be a magician to make plays happen, the offensive line could not protect, and their defense couldn't stop a high school team from running on them.
 
But maybe Burrow is getting exactly what he deserves. Afterall, he took the big payday (which he deserves) and he advocated for the team to pay BOTH his WRs Chase and Higgins instead of spending more money on the offensive line or defense. Here's the current contract for just 3 players on the Bengals:
 
  • Burrow: 5 years, $275 million, $219 million guaranteed
  • Chase: 4 years, $161 million, $112 million guaranteed
  • Higgins: 4 years, $115 million, $60 million guaranteed
 
That's $124 million per year for 3 players. The salary cap for the 25 season is $279 million and the Bengals are spending roughly 44% of their cap space on 3 players. Now we all know the cap goes up every year but still you will be spending over a third of your cap on 3 players for the next 4 years.
 
THE BENGALS NEED TO OPEN THE CHECKBOOK AND START SPENDING MONEY ON OFFENSIVE LINE AND THEIR DEFENSE OR TRADE AWAY BURROW!
 
The last part of that is not going to happen but should be seriously considered! They are wasting his career and Burrow may go down in the history books as the next Dan Mario. Really good but never had enough around him to win the big game that matters.
 
What can the Bengals do now? First, they can take care of this Trey Hendrickson situation. Either pay the man or trade him away for draft capital. If this season ends up being a disaster like last season (as I predict) and they are able to secure extra draft pick(s), they will be set up to get one of the top linemen in next year's draft.
 
Or just pay the man. Normally I would say 1 player does not make a difference on the defense overall, but here's the numbers of when Hendrickson is on the field and when he's not:
 
#32 pressure rate
#32 completion rate alowed
#32 success rate alowed
#32 passer rating alowed
 
But when Hendrickson plays, the Bengals pass defense ranks top 12 in each of those categories.
 
Hendrickson also had back to back 17.5 sack seasons. Only other players to do this in NFL history is JJ Watt and Reggie White. He has 35 sacks the last 2 seasons and no other Bengals has more than 8.
 
PAY THE MAN OR GET DRAFT PICKS TO GET MUCH NEEDED HELP FOR YOU OFFENSIVE LINE AND QUARTER OF A BILLION DOLLAR QB!
 
Let’s look at Cincy’s offensive line ranking in pass block win rate by year:
2021: #30
2022: #30
2023: #27
2024: #32
 
Not good.
 
For 2025 the Bengals rank 23rd in spending on their offensive line with $41.9 million. They are paying as much for the whole offensive line as they are for 1 WR.
 
Make it make sense.
 
Bottom line, Bengals need to get serious about building their team. DO NOT WASTE YOUR GENERATIONAL QB! Start addressing the oline, find a way to get your defense to be average, and draft better. Or you may as well trade Burrow and continue to be one of the biggest jokes of the league.
Read full Article
February 07, 2025
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Super Bowl Betting Card

SUPER BOWL BETTING CARD

Here's everything I'm on for the big game. I have several big bets, parlays, props, and long shot props!

I'm betting this game to make a profit, not how I think it will play out. I honestly don't care either way who wins this game, nor do I have a strong feeling on how it will play out. It's all about making money. I'll specify my strategies with certain bets on how I'm going to play them. 

My overall thoughts on the game is the Eagles have the better roster, are the better team, have the ability to control this game and drain clock. Which is exactly why I expect the Chiefs to end up winning.

WILL ADD MORE OVER THE WEEKEND SO CHECK BACK

STRAIGHT BETS

  • Kalshi: BIG bet on Eagles to win at 48%. Honestly, don't care who wins, what I'm doing here is betting the Eagles as the dog and planning to sell out of the position if they take a lead in this game. Then, depending how the game is going, I will buy back in on the Chiefs. May just go back and forth with this strategy expecting it to be a close game. That's what's nice about Kalshi is you can sell out of your position anytime you want.
  • 1Q TT: KC under 3.5 -110 AND PHI under 3.5
    • This is not a parlay, bet them seperate. Over the last 10 SBs, 5 times both teams have gone under, 4 times it has split 1-1, and only once have both teams gone over. With two teams who play good defense and have the ability to sustain long drives, plus with the history of at least 1 team starting slow in the SB, I think this is a great bet and at worst we go 1-1 and only lose a little on the vig.
  • 1Q UNDER 9.5
  • GAME TOTAL OVER 48.5 -112
  • EAGLES ALT LINE -7.5 +330
  • CHIEFS ALT LINE -7.5 +283
  • 1Q EXACT SCORE:
    • KC 3 PHI 0 +1400
    • KC 3 PHI 3 +2500

PARLAYS

  • +2600
    • MAHOMES OVER 24.5 COMPLETIONS
    • BARKLEY UNDER 114.5 RUSH YARDS
    • WORTHY TD
    • SMITH TD
  • PHI 1H / KC GAME +550
  • MAHOMES UNDER 30.5 RUSH YARDS / OVER 6.5 ATTEMPTS +425
    • If you like KC to win the game then you will love this bet. Remember, kneel downs count as rush attempts and Mahomes known to take 3-5 yard kneel downs in the SB so even if he gets over 30.5 yards we are still in play for this one.

PROPS

  • COIN TOSS: HEADS -101
  • EAGLES ROUGHING THE PASSER PENALTY: YES +170
  • KICK TO DONK OFF UPRIGHT: YES +550

LONGSHOTS

  • BUTKER MVP +10000
  • TRIPLE CROWN: MAHOMES / WORTHY / HURTS +5000
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