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UFC 264 Picks

So I was planning on making this a video but I'm still waiting for a part to arrive to fix my mic and it's a busy weekend for me so I figured I'm just going to put these out there.

PICKS
Jennifer Maia by points +100
Niko Price by points +400
Moutinho/OMalley u 1.5 rds -200
Tuivasa ML -130
Tuivasa by points +350
Hardy/Tuivasa o 1.5 rds -200
Thompson ML -159
Burns/Thompson o 2.5 rds -140
McGregor via KO/TKO +160

Let's start with the main event. I'm playing on McGregor because I believe this will be the last time I can meaningfully bet on him if he ends up losing this match. I think either fighter can win but I will back McGregor who has always bounced back from a loss by being extra motivated and we usually see him improve. He also knows if he wins he gets a title shot. If you like McGregor bet him now (I even like taking the ML +115 even though I think the only way he wins is by KO) because the Irish have landed and are going to be betting McGregor heavy. If you like Porier it might be worth waiting until tomorrow evening to bet him as the odds might move in your favor.
I don't see how Thompson loses this fight. Burns will have to take him down and nobody has been able to do that against Thompson so far in the UFC. There's also something to getting KO'd for your first time (Burns did by Usman in his last fight) so look for Burns to be a little more skiddish out there.
Tuivasa should be able to handle Hardy as he has the superior skill. Hardy could get lucky and catch him but I'm not betting on it. I wouldn't be surprised if this one gets a little boring and ends up going the distance which is why I also like Tuivasa via points.
OMalley is going to dominate and end it in the first round.
The fight I'm most excited to see is the Niko Price fight. You won't want to miss it TRUST ME! Even if you don't bet it just watch because these two guys are athletic FREAKS! Price should have the edge if he can manage not to get caught early and that's why I like him to win via points.
I love Maia in this fight and if you look she's a decent favorite(-193) and if you look the over is -350 so instead of betting both take Maia via points to get a nice +100 payout and better return.

Hope this helps! Comment below on what you like. If anything changes I will get it out on here probably during a live chat tomorrow as the fights go one so stay tuned!

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Stugotz's Personal Record Book Chapter 10

Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".

You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595

00:19:50
Stugotz's Personal Record Book Chapter 9

Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".

You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595

00:18:06
Stugotz's Personal Record Book Chapter 8

Welcome to our Rumble Premium reaction videos! This playlist will be from the book "Stugotz's Personal Record Book".

You can find a copy of the book here on Amazon:
https://a.co/d/9Rny595

00:10:02
MLB Daily Betting Report

Here's where the money is at in MLB today!

Rumble link:
https://rumble.com/v2xmf3k-mlb-daily-betting-report-july-2-2023.html

MLB Daily Betting Report
MLB Daily Betting Report
MLB Daily Betting Report
MLB Daily Betting Report
October 18, 2025
NFL Week 7 Best Bet

Jackson Dart under 40.5 rushing yards

Dart became the third player in NFL history to rush for 50+ yards in his first three games.
But his injury/concussion he had last week nearly gave Deboll a heart attack when he had to let Russell Wilson come in the game. Look for Deboll to not rush Dart much in this game and to encourage him to not be so reckless when he takes off.

Denver is really good at stopping running QBs. Since the start of last season Denver has only allowed 1 QB to go over 40.5 rush yards. They stopped Lamar, Hurts, Allen, Herbert, Fields and many more. Now they are home ready to take on this rookie QB.

October 14, 2025
NFL Teams Against the Spread This Season

How are NFL teams doing against the spread this season?

THE BEST (ALL 4-2 ATS)

Colts
Lions
Seahawks
Buccaneers
Rams
Patriots
Panthers
Jaguars

THE BAD (ALL 2-4 ATS)

Bengals
Titans
Raiders
Browns
Saints
Bills
Broncos

THE WORST (1-5 ATS)

Ravens

October 14, 2025
NFL Favorites NOT Doing Well In Prime Time

Favorites have lost outright in 6 of the last 7 NFL prime-time games:

TNF: Rams -7.5 LOST
SNF: Bills -8 LOST
MNF: Chiefs -3.5 LOST
TNF: Eagles -7.5 LOST
SNF: Chiefs -2.5 WON
MNF: Bills -3.5 LOST
MNF: Commanders -5.5 LOST

Will this trend continue?

September 18, 2025
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NFL WEEK 3 BETTING CARD

NFL WEEK 3 CARD

 

SIDES AND ML

 

TEN +3.5 +100

TEN ML +174

CAR +5.5

CAR ML +203

LV +3.5

LV ML +148

GB -7.5

MIN -3

LAR +3 +104

LAR ML +165

HOU ML +110

DEN +3 -120

NO +7.5

 

TEASERS

 

POOL

MIA +17.5

MIA/BUF O 44.5

CAR +11.5

LV +9.5

GB -1.5

HOU +7

DEN +9

NO +13.5

LAR +9

NYJ +12.5

 

MY TEASER PICKS

 

MIA +17.5 / BUF-MIA O 44.5 / GB -1.5 +155

LAR +9 / HOU +7 / NO +13.5 +150

CAR +11.5 / GB -1.5 / DEN +9 +150

LV +9.5 / NYJ +12.5 / NO +13.5 +160

Read full Article
August 19, 2025
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The Bengals Are WASTING Joe Burrow's Career!
It's silly to overreact to one game, especially a preseason game where teams are not at full potential. In the sports betting world you never want to react to a small sample size and instead focus on a trend or team that gives you the most relevant data points possible. But when the small sample size correlates with the long historical trend then IT'S TIME TO BE WORRIED!
 
That's EXACTLY what is happening with the Bengals. Last night's game was a pointless preseason game where the Bengals decided to play their starters for the first quarter. It was more of the same of what we saw last season. Burrow had to be a magician to make plays happen, the offensive line could not protect, and their defense couldn't stop a high school team from running on them.
 
But maybe Burrow is getting exactly what he deserves. Afterall, he took the big payday (which he deserves) and he advocated for the team to pay BOTH his WRs Chase and Higgins instead of spending more money on the offensive line or defense. Here's the current contract for just 3 players on the Bengals:
 
  • Burrow: 5 years, $275 million, $219 million guaranteed
  • Chase: 4 years, $161 million, $112 million guaranteed
  • Higgins: 4 years, $115 million, $60 million guaranteed
 
That's $124 million per year for 3 players. The salary cap for the 25 season is $279 million and the Bengals are spending roughly 44% of their cap space on 3 players. Now we all know the cap goes up every year but still you will be spending over a third of your cap on 3 players for the next 4 years.
 
THE BENGALS NEED TO OPEN THE CHECKBOOK AND START SPENDING MONEY ON OFFENSIVE LINE AND THEIR DEFENSE OR TRADE AWAY BURROW!
 
The last part of that is not going to happen but should be seriously considered! They are wasting his career and Burrow may go down in the history books as the next Dan Mario. Really good but never had enough around him to win the big game that matters.
 
What can the Bengals do now? First, they can take care of this Trey Hendrickson situation. Either pay the man or trade him away for draft capital. If this season ends up being a disaster like last season (as I predict) and they are able to secure extra draft pick(s), they will be set up to get one of the top linemen in next year's draft.
 
Or just pay the man. Normally I would say 1 player does not make a difference on the defense overall, but here's the numbers of when Hendrickson is on the field and when he's not:
 
#32 pressure rate
#32 completion rate alowed
#32 success rate alowed
#32 passer rating alowed
 
But when Hendrickson plays, the Bengals pass defense ranks top 12 in each of those categories.
 
Hendrickson also had back to back 17.5 sack seasons. Only other players to do this in NFL history is JJ Watt and Reggie White. He has 35 sacks the last 2 seasons and no other Bengals has more than 8.
 
PAY THE MAN OR GET DRAFT PICKS TO GET MUCH NEEDED HELP FOR YOU OFFENSIVE LINE AND QUARTER OF A BILLION DOLLAR QB!
 
Let’s look at Cincy’s offensive line ranking in pass block win rate by year:
2021: #30
2022: #30
2023: #27
2024: #32
 
Not good.
 
For 2025 the Bengals rank 23rd in spending on their offensive line with $41.9 million. They are paying as much for the whole offensive line as they are for 1 WR.
 
Make it make sense.
 
Bottom line, Bengals need to get serious about building their team. DO NOT WASTE YOUR GENERATIONAL QB! Start addressing the oline, find a way to get your defense to be average, and draft better. Or you may as well trade Burrow and continue to be one of the biggest jokes of the league.
Read full Article
February 07, 2025
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Super Bowl Betting Card

SUPER BOWL BETTING CARD

Here's everything I'm on for the big game. I have several big bets, parlays, props, and long shot props!

I'm betting this game to make a profit, not how I think it will play out. I honestly don't care either way who wins this game, nor do I have a strong feeling on how it will play out. It's all about making money. I'll specify my strategies with certain bets on how I'm going to play them. 

My overall thoughts on the game is the Eagles have the better roster, are the better team, have the ability to control this game and drain clock. Which is exactly why I expect the Chiefs to end up winning.

WILL ADD MORE OVER THE WEEKEND SO CHECK BACK

STRAIGHT BETS

  • Kalshi: BIG bet on Eagles to win at 48%. Honestly, don't care who wins, what I'm doing here is betting the Eagles as the dog and planning to sell out of the position if they take a lead in this game. Then, depending how the game is going, I will buy back in on the Chiefs. May just go back and forth with this strategy expecting it to be a close game. That's what's nice about Kalshi is you can sell out of your position anytime you want.
  • 1Q TT: KC under 3.5 -110 AND PHI under 3.5
    • This is not a parlay, bet them seperate. Over the last 10 SBs, 5 times both teams have gone under, 4 times it has split 1-1, and only once have both teams gone over. With two teams who play good defense and have the ability to sustain long drives, plus with the history of at least 1 team starting slow in the SB, I think this is a great bet and at worst we go 1-1 and only lose a little on the vig.
  • 1Q UNDER 9.5
  • GAME TOTAL OVER 48.5 -112
  • EAGLES ALT LINE -7.5 +330
  • CHIEFS ALT LINE -7.5 +283
  • 1Q EXACT SCORE:
    • KC 3 PHI 0 +1400
    • KC 3 PHI 3 +2500

PARLAYS

  • +2600
    • MAHOMES OVER 24.5 COMPLETIONS
    • BARKLEY UNDER 114.5 RUSH YARDS
    • WORTHY TD
    • SMITH TD
  • PHI 1H / KC GAME +550
  • MAHOMES UNDER 30.5 RUSH YARDS / OVER 6.5 ATTEMPTS +425
    • If you like KC to win the game then you will love this bet. Remember, kneel downs count as rush attempts and Mahomes known to take 3-5 yard kneel downs in the SB so even if he gets over 30.5 yards we are still in play for this one.

PROPS

  • COIN TOSS: HEADS -101
  • EAGLES ROUGHING THE PASSER PENALTY: YES +170
  • KICK TO DONK OFF UPRIGHT: YES +550

LONGSHOTS

  • BUTKER MVP +10000
  • TRIPLE CROWN: MAHOMES / WORTHY / HURTS +5000
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