It's finally happening! I have started to dive into the lines for this upcoming NFL season. I'll leave this pinned on here and I'll keep adding to it as I progress from division to division. This is just for player props and team futures. My "official plays" label means this is something I bet, I'll post where I found the line and my units on it. "Thinking" means I have my eye on it but something is keeping me from pulling the trigger most likely just waiting until we get closer to the season to start so nothing comes out of left field and ruins my pick like an injury or COVID news. Also if I see any lines I like for week one this far out that I'm on I'll add that to here as well.

OFFICIAL PLAYS
SF division winner +190 3 units
Wilson u 4250.5 pass yds +100 2 units
DK Metcalf u 1255.5 rec yds -110 2 units
SF make playoffs: yes -200 2 units
Nick Bosa CBPOY +1000 1 unit
Rams make playoffs: no +160 1 unit
Trea Lance offensive rookie of the year +750 1 unit
Vikings division winner +250 2 units
Rodgers under 4550.5 passing yards 3 units
Davante Adams under 1300.5 rec yards 2 units
Khali Mack over 9.5 sacks 1 unit
Bears make the playoffs: no -250 3 units
Lions under 5 wins -120 3 units
Bucs to win division -200 4 units
Brady u 4750.5 passing yards 2 units
Panthers to make playoffs: NO -275 3 units
Matt Ryan o 4450.5 o pass yards 2 units
Dak u 4795.5 pass yards 5 unit max play
WAS to win division +200
Giants to win divsion +325
Chiefs 10-14 wins -350
Broncos 10-14 wins +165
Chargers u 9.5 wins
Lamar Jackson MVP +1400
Steelers finish 3rd in division +115
Bengals finish last in division -220
Patriots o 9.5 wins
Patriots win division +350
Belichick COTY +1600
Baltimore Division Winner +150
Denver Division winner +520
Falcons 5-9 wins -240
Panthers 5-9 wins -230
Browns under 10.5 wins -115
Broncos over 8.5 wins -135
Detroit under 4.5 wins +110
Packers 10-14 wins -140
Jacksonville under 6.5 wins +110
Miami under 9.5 wins +115
Jets under 6 wins -130
Eagles under 6.5 wins +110

THINKING
I'm really liking HOU ML +135 but think I will wait because once week 1 comes I think we will see A LOT of the public jump on Jacksonville. Remember, rookie QB with rookie head coaches didn't win a game week 1 last season and only won 1 game through the first 3 weeks of the season. Now I know Urben Meyer isn't your usual rookie head coach but this is the NFL. People underestimate divisional games and must we forget Jacksonville was picking #1 for a reason and it's not because they were good.

SEA make the playoffs: no +100
Chris Godwin o 7.5 TDs
Antonio Brown o 5.5 TDs
Panthers worst NFL record +2500
Matt Ryan o 29.5 pass TDs
Daniel Jones o 3800.5 pass yards

WEEK 1
TB -6 3 units

UPDATE: I am going to be fading DAL HARD! Will be looking to bet TB 1Q and 1H along with several prop plays. I will post these as we get closer just giving you a heads up incase you want to jump on it now. Line has already moved to TB -7 for the game.

Already love this play and have bet it. This isn't a homer pick this is getting ahead of the casual bettors that will be all over the Bucs opening night and will drive this line above 7 so get it now. Here's why I love this pick and it has nothing to do with offense. It's all about defense. We know offenses start slow and defenses do well early on so I like that we are getting the hottest defense to end last season and they have all their starters back PLUS are at home. Cowboys had a historically bad defense last year and it doesn't matter who they added (which wasn't much) it won't make a difference week 1. Dan Quinn is now the D coordinator, which I like, but it's going to take time for the players to learn the system. Dallas is a team that I like week 8 on because I expect their defense to improve A LOT as the season progresses. But week 1 they are no match for Brady and the Bucs.

MIN v CIN

Pick: MIN -3.5 3 units

Love this play and a fading CIN who I think is more injured than people think. MIN is a great covering team and Zimmer is the best in the NFL ATS. I'm taking this bet NOW instead of waiting until we are closer because I don't think it comes down. Yes I would rather not have the hook but I think this number only goes up. And if it doesn't you better believe I will double down on this come week 1.

MIA @ NE

Pick: NE -2.5 and under 45.5

More analysis on this to come but lock in that number now

LAC @ WAS

PICK: WAS ML +100